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CLASS 6A · District 2-6A

San Angelo Central Bobcats

Enrollment: 2,774 · Dist. Enr. Rk · 5
Rank
#105
was #118
Record
4-2
0-0 district
Elo
1566
#105 of 249
OVR Grade
77.6
#105 of 249 in 6A
OFF Grade
74.9
#126 of 249 in 6A
DEF Grade
75.2
#118 of 249 in 6A
Perf
1501
#125 of 249 in 6A

Schedule & Results

Wk Opponent (Rec) Elo Proj WP% Result Perf AOS ADS WQ LQ
1
Abilene
 33% (-7) W 28-23 1704 +1.6 −6.6 +0.35 —
2
@Mansfield Lake Ridge (4-2) 1880
 36% (-5) L 28-47 1279 −4.1 +4.8 — −0.60
3
Abilene Cooper
 60% (+4) L 21-28 1380 −5.9 −1.1 — −0.84
4
El Paso Montwood (0-7) 569
 97% (+34) W 42-7 1386 −6.8 −2.3 +0.01 —
5
Belton
 74% (+10) W 52-29 1735 +17.2 +7.8 +0.06 —
7
@Midland Greenwood
 62% (+5) W 28-21 1522 −3.1 −3.9 +0.13 —
8
Midland Lee (4-3) 1669
 39% (-4) — — — — — —
9
@Odessa (2-5) 906
 94% (+26) — — — — — —
10
Midland (4-3) 1670
 39% (-4) — — — — — —
11
@#32Odessa Permian (7-0) 2062
 11% (-20) — — — — — —
Tradition Never Graduates 2026 | @TexasTNG | texastng.com

District Standings Projection - District 2-6A

Rk Team (Enroll Rk) OVR/Elo Overall District PPG PAPG ProjRec PO% Bracket
1 32
Panthers
85.1
2062
 7-0 1-0 39.6 19.3 3.7-0.3 > 98% D1
2 89
Bulldogs
79.2
1670
 4-3 1-0 29.9 18.4 2.3-1.7 > 98% D2
3 90
Rebels
79.2
1669
 4-3 0-1 34.6 31.3 2.1-1.9 > 98% D1
4 105
Bobcats
77.6
1566
 4-2 0-0 33.2 25.8 1.8-2.2 96.5% D2
5 215
Bronchos
67.6
906
 2-5 0-1 21.7 29.4 0.1-3.9 5.5% —
Tradition Never Graduates 2026 | @TexasTNG | texastng.com
ProjRec, PO%, and Bracket represent the result of 10,000 Monte Carlo season simulations from this point forward based on each team's current Elo

Since 2004

Historical Performance

Shaded band is the 6A league mean Elo ± 1 standard deviation for that season; the dashed gray line is the league mean. The four colored dashed lines mark the Elo needed that season to rank Top 10 / 25 / 50 / 100 among all qualifying 6A team-seasons (min. 8 games) — a rough gauge of how San Angelo Central’s season stacked up against the state’s best year over year.

Best TNG Rated Seasons

#1 · 2016
12-1
Rating 737 (96th)
#2 · 2017
11-1
Rating 661 (89th)
#3 · 2015
11-2
Rating 659 (89th)
#4 · 2014
11-2
Rating 637 (85th)
#5 · 2013
10-2
Rating 603 (78th)

Team Performance History

Year Record Final
Elo		 PPG PAPG Margin Elo
SOS		 AOS ADS DOM Perf RQ WQ LQ All-Time
Rating (%ile)
2025 7-5 1649 33.3 33.2 +0.1 1415 +2.3 +5.2 −2.8 1429 −2.15 +0.61 −2.76 538(58th)
2024 4-6 1368 36.1 34.2 +1.9 1418 +2.0 +3.6 −1.6 1459 −3.85 +0.27 −4.12 507(47th)
2023 1-9 897 34.1 46.3 −12.2 1457 +1.4 +15.6 −14.2 1146 −7.01 +0.01 −7.02 425(21st)
2022 5-6 1404 38.8 40.3 −1.5 1430 +6.8 +9.9 −3.1 1422 −3.58 +0.54 −4.11 501(45th)
2021 4-7 1428 21.8 33.3 −11.5 1688 −4.2 −1.4 −2.8 1429 −2.46 +0.76 −3.21 500(44th)
2020 5-6 1652 35.7 36.5 −0.8 1660 +8.8 +3.7 +5.0 1626 −1.74 +0.69 −2.43 553(63rd)
2019 6-5 1653 32.6 36.0 −3.4 1626 +6.0 +3.9 +2.1 1551 −1.54 +0.74 −2.28 538(58th)
2018 7-4 1862 25.5 28.0 −2.5 1591 +0.3 −2.4 +2.7 1568 −0.02 +1.09 −1.12 559(65th)
2017 11-1 2291 40.4 23.6 +16.8 1593 +13.7 −7.8 +21.5 2037 +3.36 +3.48 −0.12 661(89th)
2016 12-1 2306 51.5 17.0 +34.5 1651 +21.8 −17.2 +39.0 2474 +3.41 +3.43 −0.02 737(96th)
2015 11-2 2134 42.4 23.0 +19.4 1636 +16.0 −9.4 +25.4 2136 +2.76 +3.21 −0.44 659(89th)
2014 11-2 2034 36.1 23.0 +13.1 1685 +11.3 −9.7 +21.0 2024 +2.15 +3.00 −0.85 637(85th)
2013 10-2 1808 43.8 27.8 +16.1 1560 +9.2 −7.5 +16.7 1917 +1.61 +3.00 −1.39 603(78th)
2012 6-5 1566 30.5 26.1 +4.5 1568 +4.4 +0.4 +3.9 1598 −1.60 +1.10 −2.70 539(59th)
2011 9-3 1664 27.8 19.9 +7.8 1399 −1.1 −4.4 +3.3 1582 −0.13 +1.03 −1.16 548(61st)
2010 5-7 1443 26.9 33.7 −6.7 1454 −1.2 +7.7 −8.9 1277 −4.14 +0.42 −4.56 499(44th)
2009 2-8 1103 17.3 39.4 −22.1 1505 −8.2 +14.1 −22.3 942 −4.71 +0.23 −4.93 412(17th)
2008 0-10 998 13.4 37.1 −23.7 1640 −13.1 +5.1 −18.3 1044 −6.81 0.00 −6.81 416(19th)
2007 5-6 1352 17.5 19.8 −2.3 1421 −9.1 −4.5 −4.6 1384 −3.60 +0.41 −4.00 496(43rd)
2006 6-6 1437 16.8 20.4 −3.6 1462 −10.4 −6.6 −3.8 1405 −3.09 +0.56 −3.65 516(50th)
2005 4-7 1370 20.1 22.1 −2.0 1427 −6.1 −1.0 −5.2 1370 −4.74 +0.19 −4.93 497(43rd)
2004 6-6 1473 22.8 20.7 +2.2 1359 −4.8 −1.9 −3.0 1426 −3.77 +0.79 −4.57 515(50th)
Tradition Never Graduates 2026 | @TexasTNG | texastng.com
Margin — Average scoring margin (PPG minus PAPG).
Elo SOS — Average Elo of opponents faced that season, using each opponent's final season Elo.
AOS — Adjusted Offensive Scoring — scoring output compared to the expected average team's offensive performance, adjusted for opponents' defensive strength.
ADS — Adjusted Defensive Scoring — scoring allowed compared to the expected average defensive team's performance, adjusted for opponents' offensive strength; lower (more negative) is better.
DOM — Dominance — AOS minus ADS, combined scoring-margin efficiency.
Perf — Performance Elo — that season's DOM translated onto the Elo scale, an independent check on Elo itself.
RQ — Resume Quality — net wins above a second-round-quality opponent (WQ + LQ) for the season. Typically runs about −10 to +10: 0 is a break-even resume against that bar, the median qualifying season sits around −1, and +5 or better is an elite, deep-playoff-caliber resume.
WQ — Win Quality — resume credit earned from wins only, weighted by opponent strength. Each win's credit is benchmarked against a hypothetical ~1850 Elo opponent (roughly a second-round-playoff-quality team) — beating a team stronger than that earns close to full credit, beating a much weaker team earns very little.
LQ — Loss Quality — resume cost from losses only, weighted by opponent strength.
All-Time Rating — 0–990 composite score ranked against every qualifying 6A team-season since 2004; parenthetical is the all-time percentile.