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CLASS 6A · District 8-6A

Irving MacArthur Cardinals

Enrollment: 2,332 · Dist. Enr. Rk · 6
Rank
#204
was #201
Record
3-3
1-2 district
Elo
1027
#204 of 249
OVR Grade
69.5
#204 of 249 in 6A
OFF Grade
68.2
#193 of 249 in 6A
DEF Grade
64.9
#210 of 249 in 6A
Perf
962
#203 of 249 in 6A

Schedule & Results

Wk Opponent (Rec) Elo Proj WP% Result Perf AOS ADS WQ LQ
1
Carrollton Creekview
 52% (+1) W 32-26 1074 −7.5 +9.5 +0.03 —
2
@Fort Worth Southwest
 > 98% (+37) W 24-14 398 −31.0 +13.0 +0.00 —
3
Azle
 45% (-2) L 41-49 1004 +7.1 +26.9 — −0.95
5
@South Grand Prairie (4-2) 1730
 4% (-31) L 20-35 1252 −3.2 +6.7 — −0.55
6
@Irving (0-6) 436
 91% (+22) W 45-0 1356 −11.1 −5.4 +0.00 —
7
@Euless Trinity (4-2) 1869
 3% (-33) L 7-52 689 −12.3 +20.2 — −0.49
8
@Grand Prairie (3-3) 962
 57% (+3) — — — — — —
9
Irving Nimitz (1-5) 325
 95% (+28) — — — — — —
10
@Hurst Bell (3-3) 1286
 25% (-10) — — — — — —
11
Fort Worth Haltom (3-3) 1404
 17% (-15) — — — — — —
Tradition Never Graduates 2026 | @TexasTNG | texastng.com

District Standings Projection - District 8-6A

Rk Team (Enroll Rk) OVR/Elo Overall District PPG PAPG ProjRec PO% Bracket
1 58
Trojans
82.2
1869
 4-2 3-0 30.5 19.3 6.8-0.2 > 98% D1
2 79
Warriors
80.1
1730
 4-2 2-1 30.2 20.2 5.6-1.4 > 98% D1
3 144
Buffaloes
75.2
1404
 3-3 3-0 31.3 19.7 5.2-1.9 > 98% D2
4 166
Blue Raiders
73.4
1286
 3-3 2-1 28.5 15.0 3.9-3.1 84% D2
5 204
Cardinals
69.5
1027
 3-3 1-2 28.2 29.3 2.9-4.1 16.7% —
6 209
Gophers
68.5
962
 3-3 1-2 14.8 27.3 2.4-4.6 < 2% —
7 246
Tigers
60.5
436
 0-6 0-3 8.2 54.7 0.8-6.2 < 2% —
8 247
Vikings
58.9
325
 1-5 0-3 21.0 33.0 0.4-6.6 < 2% —
Tradition Never Graduates 2026 | @TexasTNG | texastng.com
ProjRec, PO%, and Bracket represent the result of 10,000 Monte Carlo season simulations from this point forward based on each team's current Elo

Since 2004

Historical Performance

Shaded band is the 6A league mean Elo ± 1 standard deviation for that season; the dashed gray line is the league mean. The four colored dashed lines mark the Elo needed that season to rank Top 10 / 25 / 50 / 100 among all qualifying 6A team-seasons (min. 8 games) — a rough gauge of how Irving MacArthur’s season stacked up against the state’s best year over year.

Best TNG Rated Seasons

#1 · 2004
10-1
Rating 681 (92nd)
#2 · 2005
9-2
Rating 629 (84th)
#3 · 2007
9-2
Rating 599 (77th)
#4 · 2014
7-4
Rating 586 (74th)
#5 · 2012
7-4
Rating 570 (69th)

Team Performance History

Year Record Final
Elo		 PPG PAPG Margin Elo
SOS		 AOS ADS DOM Perf RQ WQ LQ All-Time
Rating (%ile)
2025 3-7 875 23.5 28.6 −5.1 1136 −12.6 +8.2 −20.8 979 −5.95 +0.02 −5.97 398(15th)
2024 3-7 736 18.7 30.2 −11.5 1136 −17.7 +9.2 −26.9 828 −6.07 +0.03 −6.10 365(9th)
2023 2-8 791 16.8 32.7 −15.9 1265 −16.2 +8.3 −24.5 888 −6.39 +0.01 −6.40 382(12th)
2022 4-6 1067 30.5 34.0 −3.5 1300 −1.3 +10.5 −11.8 1205 −3.72 +0.16 −3.88 442(25th)
2021 4-6 1052 27.1 34.6 −7.5 1275 −5.9 +10.7 −16.6 1085 −4.22 +0.10 −4.32 420(20th)
2020 3-6 1005 17.6 37.2 −19.7 1282 −14.8 +13.6 −28.5 789 −4.55 +0.05 −4.60 372(10th)
2019 2-8 1086 16.3 38.0 −21.7 1442 −13.8 +9.7 −23.5 913 −5.11 +0.03 −5.14 402(15th)
2018 4-6 1240 22.5 23.0 −0.5 1426 −5.0 −1.4 −3.6 1409 −3.20 +0.33 −3.52 482(37th)
2017 2-8 1070 12.3 35.7 −23.4 1644 −9.6 +8.0 −17.6 1061 −4.16 +0.07 −4.23 420(20th)
2016 1-9 1149 12.8 40.2 −27.4 1719 −11.5 +6.3 −17.8 1055 −4.51 +0.05 −4.57 428(21st)
2015 6-5 1521 32.8 30.8 +2.0 1409 +4.1 +5.6 −1.5 1463 −1.94 +0.33 −2.27 514(50th)
2014 7-4 1694 41.8 25.9 +15.9 1457 +11.1 −4.1 +15.2 1880 −0.62 +0.82 −1.45 586(74th)
2013 3-7 1179 22.0 28.9 −6.9 1437 −6.2 +2.9 −9.1 1273 −4.54 +0.14 −4.68 460(30th)
2012 7-4 1743 33.2 25.6 +7.5 1495 +5.2 −3.2 +8.4 1710 −0.30 +0.82 −1.13 570(69th)
2011 3-7 1386 25.3 27.1 −1.8 1619 +0.5 −1.3 +1.8 1545 −3.69 +0.25 −3.95 518(51st)
2010 4-6 1484 23.4 27.0 −3.6 1621 −1.7 −1.8 0.0 1501 −2.92 +0.43 −3.35 521(52nd)
2009 6-5 1710 24.2 22.6 +1.5 1560 −0.4 −3.7 +3.3 1583 −0.12 +2.12 −2.24 552(62nd)
2008 3-7 1499 28.8 31.1 −2.3 1674 +4.6 +1.0 +3.6 1591 −3.55 +0.21 −3.77 535(57th)
2007 9-2 1832 32.3 21.1 +11.2 1548 +8.5 −4.8 +13.2 1831 +1.22 +1.68 −0.46 599(77th)
2006 4-6 1501 28.0 27.8 +0.2 1594 +5.4 +1.4 +3.9 1598 −3.13 +0.41 −3.55 538(58th)
2005 9-2 2076 24.9 20.1 +4.8 1752 +4.1 −10.5 +14.6 1866 +2.29 +2.49 −0.20 629(84th)
2004 10-1 2005 36.1 12.4 +23.7 1597 +11.8 −15.7 +27.5 2187 +2.10 +2.54 −0.44 681(92nd)
Tradition Never Graduates 2026 | @TexasTNG | texastng.com
Margin — Average scoring margin (PPG minus PAPG).
Elo SOS — Average Elo of opponents faced that season, using each opponent's final season Elo.
AOS — Adjusted Offensive Scoring — scoring output compared to the expected average team's offensive performance, adjusted for opponents' defensive strength.
ADS — Adjusted Defensive Scoring — scoring allowed compared to the expected average defensive team's performance, adjusted for opponents' offensive strength; lower (more negative) is better.
DOM — Dominance — AOS minus ADS, combined scoring-margin efficiency.
Perf — Performance Elo — that season's DOM translated onto the Elo scale, an independent check on Elo itself.
RQ — Resume Quality — net wins above a second-round-quality opponent (WQ + LQ) for the season. Typically runs about −10 to +10: 0 is a break-even resume against that bar, the median qualifying season sits around −1, and +5 or better is an elite, deep-playoff-caliber resume.
WQ — Win Quality — resume credit earned from wins only, weighted by opponent strength. Each win's credit is benchmarked against a hypothetical ~1850 Elo opponent (roughly a second-round-playoff-quality team) — beating a team stronger than that earns close to full credit, beating a much weaker team earns very little.
LQ — Loss Quality — resume cost from losses only, weighted by opponent strength.
All-Time Rating — 0–990 composite score ranked against every qualifying 6A team-season since 2004; parenthetical is the all-time percentile.