| Wk | Opponent (Rec) Elo | Proj WP% | Result | Perf | AOS | ADS | WQ | LQ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Dallas Bryan Adams |
77% (+11) | L 35-42 | 154 | −16.4 | +37.4 | — | −1.00 |
| 2 | Fort Worth Polytechnic |
66% (+6) | W 70-0 | 1855 | +14.1 | −0.1 | +0.00 | — |
| 3 | @South Garland (2-4) 442 |
57% (+3) | L 14-28 | -92 | −39.2 | +24.4 | — | −1.00 |
| 5 | Hurst Bell (3-3) 1286 |
< 2% (-39) | L 7-58 | 212 | −16.3 | +35.3 | — | −0.90 |
| 6 | Fort Worth Haltom (3-3) 1404 |
< 2% (-39) | L 0-56 | 96 | −26.1 | +30.1 | — | −0.90 |
| 7 | @Grand Prairie (3-3) 962 |
7% (-25) | L 0-14 | 418 | −37.1 | +6.2 | — | −0.98 |
| 8 | Euless Trinity (4-2) 1869 |
< 2% (-62) | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 9 | @Irving MacArthur (3-3) 1027 |
5% (-28) | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 10 | South Grand Prairie (4-2) 1730 |
< 2% (-56) | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 11 | @Irving (0-6) 436 |
39% (-4) | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tradition Never Graduates 2026 | @TexasTNG | texastng.com | ||||||||
Rank
#247
was #247
Record
1-5
0-3 district
Elo
325
#247 of 249
OVR Grade
58.9
#247 of 249 in 6A
OFF Grade
60.8
#235 of 249 in 6A
DEF Grade
56.1
#238 of 249 in 6A
Perf
441
#242 of 249 in 6A
Schedule & Results
District Standings Projection - District 8-6A
| Rk | Team (Enroll Rk) | OVR/ |
Overall | District | PPG | PAPG | ProjRec | PO% | Bracket | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tradition Never Graduates 2026 | @TexasTNG | texastng.com | |||||||||||
| ProjRec, PO%, and Bracket represent the result of 10,000 Monte Carlo season simulations from this point forward based on each team's current Elo | |||||||||||
Since 2004
Historical Performance


Shaded band is the 6A league mean Elo ± 1 standard deviation for that season; the dashed gray line is the league mean. The four colored dashed lines mark the Elo needed that season to rank Top 10 / 25 / 50 / 100 among all qualifying 6A team-seasons (min. 8 games) — a rough gauge of how Irving Nimitz’s season stacked up against the state’s best year over year.
Best TNG Rated Seasons
#1 · 2005
6-4
Rating 567 (68th)
#2 · 2004
3-7
Rating 538 (58th)
#3 · 2010
6-5
Rating 530 (55th)
#4 · 2009
7-4
Rating 517 (51st)
#5 · 2015
6-5
Rating 487 (39th)
Team Performance History
| Year | Record | Final Elo |
PPG | PAPG | Margin | Elo SOS |
AOS | ADS | DOM | Perf | RQ | WQ | LQ | All-Time Rating (%ile) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tradition Never Graduates 2026 | @TexasTNG | texastng.com | ||||||||||||||
Margin — Average scoring margin (PPG minus PAPG).
Elo SOS — Average Elo of opponents faced that season, using each opponent's final season Elo.
AOS — Adjusted Offensive Scoring — scoring output compared to the expected average team's offensive performance, adjusted for opponents' defensive strength.
ADS — Adjusted Defensive Scoring — scoring allowed compared to the expected average defensive team's performance, adjusted for opponents' offensive strength; lower (more negative) is better.
DOM — Dominance — AOS minus ADS, combined scoring-margin efficiency.
Perf — Performance Elo — that season's DOM translated onto the Elo scale, an independent check on Elo itself.
RQ — Resume Quality — net wins above a second-round-quality opponent (WQ + LQ) for the season. Typically runs about −10 to +10: 0 is a break-even resume against that bar, the median qualifying season sits around −1, and +5 or better is an elite, deep-playoff-caliber resume.
WQ — Win Quality — resume credit earned from wins only, weighted by opponent strength. Each win's credit is benchmarked against a hypothetical ~1850 Elo opponent (roughly a second-round-playoff-quality team) — beating a team stronger than that earns close to full credit, beating a much weaker team earns very little.
LQ — Loss Quality — resume cost from losses only, weighted by opponent strength.
All-Time Rating — 0–990 composite score ranked against every qualifying 6A team-season since 2004; parenthetical is the all-time percentile.






