← Back

CLASS 6A · District 10-6A

Mesquite Horn Jaguars

Enrollment: 2,695 · Dist. Enr. Rk · 7

Rank

#189

was #183

Record

0-6

0-3 district

Elo

1116

#189 of 249

OVR Grade

70.8

#189 of 249 in 6A

OFF Grade

75.3

#119 of 249 in 6A

DEF Grade

55.3

#240 of 249 in 6A

Perf

932

#208 of 249 in 6A

Schedule & Results

Wk	Opponent (Rec) Elo	Proj WP%	Result	Perf	AOS	ADS	WQ	LQ
1	Plano East (4-2) 1678	74% (+10)	L 21-55	904	+0.2	+24.0	—	−0.89
2	Keller Central (4-2) 1731	36% (-6)	L 18-45	1099	−6.3	+9.7	—	−0.79
3	@Wylie (4-2) 1571	23% (-11)	L 28-56	1020	−2.9	+16.3	—	−0.74
4	@#38Rockwall (4-2) 2040	5% (-27)	L 48-69	1515	+15.1	+14.5	—	−0.40
5	Tyler Legacy (2-4) 1413	41% (-3)	L 55-77	822	+8.5	+35.6	—	−0.89
7	@Forney (2-4) 1531	22% (-12)	L 14-70	234	−11.5	+39.1	—	−0.83
8	Royse City (1-5) 1569	13% (-18)	—	—	—	—	—	—
9	@#44Rockwall-Heath (4-2) 1987	3% (-35)	—	—	—	—	—	—
10	@#8Longview (5-1) 2462	< 2% (-54)	—	—	—	—	—	—
11	#37North Forney (1-4) 2041	2% (-37)	—	—	—	—	—	—
Tradition Never Graduates 2026 | @TexasTNG | texastng.com

District Standings Projection - District 10-6A

Rk			Team (Enroll Rk)	OVR/Elo	Overall	District	PPG	PAPG	ProjRec	PO%	Bracket
1		8	Longview (8) Lobos	91.1 2462	5-1	3-0	48.2	21.0	6.8-0.2	> 98%	D2
2		38	Rockwall (3) Yellowjackets	84.8 2040	4-2	2-1	50.2	45.2	5.3-1.7	> 98%	D1
3		44	Rockwall-Heath (1) Hawks	84 1987	4-2	3-0	42.2	35.7	5-2	> 98%	D1
4		37	North Forney (5) Falcons	84.8 2041	1-4	1-2	38.0	40.6	4.3-2.7	91.3%	D2
5		115	Forney (2) Jackrabbits	77.1 1531	2-4	2-1	29.8	26.7	2.9-4.1	8.5%	—
6		104	Royse City (4) Bulldogs	77.6 1569	1-5	0-3	24.3	35.5	1.8-5.2	< 2%	—
7		143	Tyler Legacy (6) Red Raiders	75.3 1413	2-4	1-2	43.7	52.2	1.8-5.2	< 2%	—
8		189	Mesquite Horn (7) Jaguars	70.8 1116	0-6	0-3	30.7	62.0	0.2-6.8	< 2%	—
Tradition Never Graduates 2026 | @TexasTNG | texastng.com
ProjRec, PO%, and Bracket represent the result of 10,000 Monte Carlo season simulations from this point forward based on each team's current Elo

Since 2004

Historical Performance

Shaded band is the 6A league mean Elo ± 1 standard deviation for that season; the dashed gray line is the league mean. The four colored dashed lines mark the Elo needed that season to rank Top 10 / 25 / 50 / 100 among all qualifying 6A team-seasons (min. 8 games) — a rough gauge of how Mesquite Horn’s season stacked up against the state’s best year over year.

Best TNG Rated Seasons

#1 · 2010

9-5

Rating 708 (95th)

#2 · 2013

9-3

Rating 677 (91st)

#3 · 2017

10-2

Rating 669 (90th)

#4 · 2012

8-4

Rating 662 (89th)

#5 · 2014

11-2

Rating 641 (86th)

Team Performance History

Year	Record	Final Elo	PPG	PAPG	Margin	Elo SOS	AOS	ADS	DOM	Perf	RQ	WQ	LQ	All-Time Rating (%ile)
2025	3-7	1612	26.7	30.7	−4.0	1862	+5.6	−4.7	+10.3	1758	−2.48	+0.39	−2.87	581(72nd)
2024	2-8	1574	26.7	36.1	−9.4	1814	+4.0	+0.4	+3.6	1589	−3.76	+0.50	−4.26	551(62nd)
2023	5-5	1591	25.0	18.4	+6.6	1512	−4.3	−10.5	+6.2	1655	−2.77	+0.67	−3.44	557(64th)
2022	8-3	1775	30.4	21.2	+9.2	1552	+3.3	−8.9	+12.2	1806	+0.26	+1.98	−1.72	585(74th)
2021	2-7	1355	18.0	33.1	−15.1	1698	−8.5	−1.5	−7.1	1323	−3.31	+0.15	−3.46	479(36th)
2020	3-7	1497	24.7	38.6	−13.9	1744	−0.2	+3.5	−3.7	1407	−3.09	+0.75	−3.84	502(45th)
2019	3-7	1552	25.5	37.2	−11.7	1949	+4.9	−2.1	+7.0	1675	−1.57	+0.89	−2.46	568(68th)
2018	5-8	1960	29.0	32.5	−3.5	1983	+9.1	−5.8	+14.9	1873	−0.66	+1.37	−2.03	641(86th)
2017	10-2	2118	43.9	27.1	+16.8	1764	+20.0	−7.2	+27.2	2181	+3.13	+3.50	−0.38	669(90th)
2016	6-5	1899	41.0	40.7	+0.3	1882	+15.1	+0.9	+14.2	1855	+1.18	+2.38	−1.20	617(82nd)
2015	6-5	1724	33.8	24.4	+9.5	1567	+4.3	−8.2	+12.5	1812	−1.76	+0.93	−2.70	579(71st)
2014	11-2	2055	41.0	24.0	+17.0	1619	+13.4	−8.2	+21.5	2038	+2.41	+3.10	−0.69	641(86th)
2013	9-3	2097	36.6	27.4	+9.2	1912	+14.7	−10.0	+24.7	2118	+3.19	+3.78	−0.59	677(91st)
2012	8-4	2103	39.5	26.6	+12.9	1801	+16.9	−7.3	+24.2	2104	+1.81	+3.08	−1.27	662(89th)
2011	4-7	1917	29.2	27.9	+1.3	1845	+9.4	−6.8	+16.2	1905	−0.60	+1.38	−1.98	626(83rd)
2010	9-5	2123	33.6	24.1	+9.6	1946	+14.4	−12.6	+27.1	2177	+2.73	+4.18	−1.45	708(95th)
2009	6-5	1700	31.5	30.5	+1.0	1800	+9.8	−3.4	+13.2	1830	−0.10	+2.29	−2.39	591(75th)
2008	4-7	1622	26.8	35.1	−8.3	1784	+6.5	+2.8	+3.7	1594	−2.79	+1.46	−4.26	552(63rd)
2007	3-7	1274	19.4	32.5	−13.1	1651	−3.1	+3.5	−6.6	1335	−3.50	+0.53	−4.03	482(37th)
2006	1-9	1327	10.3	27.9	−17.6	1710	−10.6	−2.5	−8.1	1297	−4.82	+0.24	−5.06	482(37th)
2005	4-6	1527	27.3	30.5	−3.2	1743	+7.4	+2.1	+5.3	1632	−2.41	+0.94	−3.35	548(61st)
2004	1-9	1335	13.4	21.2	−7.8	1735	−6.6	−7.5	+0.9	1524	−5.87	+0.20	−6.07	517(51st)
Tradition Never Graduates 2026 | @TexasTNG | texastng.com

Margin — Average scoring margin (PPG minus PAPG).

Elo SOS — Average Elo of opponents faced that season, using each opponent's final season Elo.

AOS — Adjusted Offensive Scoring — scoring output compared to the expected average team's offensive performance, adjusted for opponents' defensive strength.

ADS — Adjusted Defensive Scoring — scoring allowed compared to the expected average defensive team's performance, adjusted for opponents' offensive strength; lower (more negative) is better.

DOM — Dominance — AOS minus ADS, combined scoring-margin efficiency.

Perf — Performance Elo — that season's DOM translated onto the Elo scale, an independent check on Elo itself.

RQ — Resume Quality — net wins above a second-round-quality opponent (WQ + LQ) for the season. Typically runs about −10 to +10: 0 is a break-even resume against that bar, the median qualifying season sits around −1, and +5 or better is an elite, deep-playoff-caliber resume.

WQ — Win Quality — resume credit earned from wins only, weighted by opponent strength. Each win's credit is benchmarked against a hypothetical ~1850 Elo opponent (roughly a second-round-playoff-quality team) — beating a team stronger than that earns close to full credit, beating a much weaker team earns very little.

LQ — Loss Quality — resume cost from losses only, weighted by opponent strength.

All-Time Rating — 0–990 composite score ranked against every qualifying 6A team-season since 2004; parenthetical is the all-time percentile.