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CLASS 6A · District 30-6A

San Antonio Southwest Dragons

Enrollment: 2,253 · Dist. Enr. Rk · 7
Rank
#224
was #220
Record
1-4
1-2 district
Elo
791
#224 of 249
OVR Grade
65.9
#224 of 249 in 6A
OFF Grade
61.8
#230 of 249 in 6A
DEF Grade
68.3
#185 of 249 in 6A
Perf
835
#220 of 249 in 6A

Schedule & Results

Wk Opponent (Rec) Elo Proj WP% Result Perf AOS ADS WQ LQ
2 77% (+12) L 28-35 340 −20.5 +25.9 — −0.99
3
San Antonio Alamo Heights
< 2% (-44) L 7-42 1025 −13.0 +6.0 — −0.47
4
@Del Rio (0-6) 547
65% (+6) W 14-7 641 −29.8 +4.6 +0.01 —
5
Laredo United (3-2-1) 1549
6% (-26) L 20-27 1397 −4.0 +0.1 — −0.82
7
@Eagle Pass (2-4) 1033
33% (-7) L 14-19 771 −26.5 +2.7 — −0.97
8
@Laredo Alexander (4-2) 1319
10% (-21) — — — — — —
9
Laredo Johnson (4-2) 1205
15% (-17) — — — — — —
10 30% (-8) — — — — — —
11 43% (-3) — — — — — —
Tradition Never Graduates 2026 | @TexasTNG | texastng.com

District Standings Projection - District 30-6A

Rk Team (Enroll Rk) OVR/Elo Overall District PPG PAPG ProjRec PO% Bracket
1 110
Longhorns
77.3
1549
3-2 3-0 28.3 21.3 6.6-0.4 > 98% D1
2 161
Bulldogs
73.9
1319
4-2 3-0 32.0 27.0 5.8-1.2 > 98% D2
3 176
Wolves
72.2
1205
4-2 2-1 35.5 25.2 4.6-2.4 90.7% D1
4 203
Eagles
69.6
1033
2-4 1-2 23.3 33.7 3.4-3.6 57.6% D2
5 207
Panthers
68.9
988
2-4 2-1 18.3 25.5 3.5-3.5 46.6% —
6 224
Dragons
65.9
791
1-4 1-2 16.6 26.0 2-5 3.8% —
7 218
Titans
66.9
856
2-3 0-3 25.2 26.8 1.7-5.3 < 2% —
8 240
Rams
62.2
547
0-6 0-3 10.0 33.7 0.4-6.6 < 2% —
Tradition Never Graduates 2026 | @TexasTNG | texastng.com
ProjRec, PO%, and Bracket represent the result of 10,000 Monte Carlo season simulations from this point forward based on each team's current Elo

Since 2004

Historical Performance

Shaded band is the 6A league mean Elo ± 1 standard deviation for that season; the dashed gray line is the league mean. The four colored dashed lines mark the Elo needed that season to rank Top 10 / 25 / 50 / 100 among all qualifying 6A team-seasons (min. 8 games) — a rough gauge of how San Antonio Southwest’s season stacked up against the state’s best year over year.

Best TNG Rated Seasons

#1 · 2009
10-1
Rating 596 (77th)
#2 · 2008
9-4
Rating 584 (73rd)
#3 · 2007
11-1
Rating 577 (71st)
#4 · 2006
8-3
Rating 514 (49th)
#5 · 2017
9-3
Rating 504 (46th)

Team Performance History

Year Record Final
Elo
PPG PAPG Margin Elo
SOS
AOS ADS DOM Perf RQ WQ LQ All-Time
Rating (%ile)
2021 1-0 1201 53.0 6.0 +47.0 867 +13.8 −5.9 +19.7 1993 +0.03 +0.03 0.00 —
2020 0-1 1066 8.0 37.0 −29.0 1395 −28.4 +5.9 −34.3 641 −0.91 0.00 −0.91 —
2019 0-3 1126 21.0 45.0 −24.0 1628 −7.0 +12.9 −19.9 1003 −2.70 0.00 −2.70 —
2018 2-1 1496 20.0 17.0 +3.0 1331 −4.6 −3.8 −0.8 1479 −0.68 +0.15 −0.83 —
2017 9-3 1473 27.2 19.9 +7.3 1205 −3.7 −0.1 −3.6 1411 −1.70 +0.76 −2.46 504(46th)
2016 7-4 1308 25.9 18.6 +7.3 1218 −6.5 −1.2 −5.3 1367 −2.57 +0.58 −3.15 484(38th)
2015 4-7 1051 14.7 23.6 −8.9 1288 −19.3 −0.6 −18.7 1033 −5.26 +0.66 −5.92 415(18th)
2014 5-6 1389 29.1 26.6 +2.5 1307 −1.7 +2.5 −4.3 1393 −4.40 +0.40 −4.80 494(42nd)
2013 5-6 1352 22.4 29.5 −7.2 1471 −5.2 +2.2 −7.4 1314 −3.26 +0.30 −3.56 481(37th)
2012 6-5 1335 31.9 29.3 +2.6 1409 +2.7 +4.2 −1.5 1462 −2.42 +0.53 −2.95 500(44th)
2011 3-8 1187 21.5 30.7 −9.2 1417 −7.4 +6.5 −13.9 1154 −5.04 +0.07 −5.11 448(27th)
2010 4-7 1296 21.7 27.0 −5.3 1388 −6.2 +4.4 −10.6 1236 −5.30 +0.09 −5.39 470(33rd)
2009 10-1 1854 36.3 14.9 +21.4 1199 +3.5 −6.5 +10.0 1749 +0.86 +1.28 −0.43 596(77th)
2008 9-4 1754 29.9 16.8 +13.2 1309 +0.8 −5.8 +6.7 1666 −1.21 +0.63 −1.84 584(73rd)
2007 11-1 1729 35.0 16.5 +18.5 1243 +3.9 −4.0 +7.9 1697 +0.77 +1.28 −0.50 577(71st)
2006 8-3 1428 24.8 16.4 +8.5 1210 −7.0 −3.7 −3.3 1419 −1.63 +0.57 −2.20 514(49th)
2005 3-7 964 14.1 30.6 −16.5 1137 −17.8 +12.5 −30.2 744 −5.62 +0.09 −5.71 377(11th)
2004 4-6 1121 19.4 21.9 −2.5 1140 −13.8 +4.9 −18.7 1032 −5.11 +0.18 −5.29 432(22nd)
Tradition Never Graduates 2026 | @TexasTNG | texastng.com
Margin — Average scoring margin (PPG minus PAPG).
Elo SOS — Average Elo of opponents faced that season, using each opponent's final season Elo.
AOS — Adjusted Offensive Scoring — scoring output compared to the expected average team's offensive performance, adjusted for opponents' defensive strength.
ADS — Adjusted Defensive Scoring — scoring allowed compared to the expected average defensive team's performance, adjusted for opponents' offensive strength; lower (more negative) is better.
DOM — Dominance — AOS minus ADS, combined scoring-margin efficiency.
Perf — Performance Elo — that season's DOM translated onto the Elo scale, an independent check on Elo itself.
RQ — Resume Quality — net wins above a second-round-quality opponent (WQ + LQ) for the season. Typically runs about −10 to +10: 0 is a break-even resume against that bar, the median qualifying season sits around −1, and +5 or better is an elite, deep-playoff-caliber resume.
WQ — Win Quality — resume credit earned from wins only, weighted by opponent strength. Each win's credit is benchmarked against a hypothetical ~1850 Elo opponent (roughly a second-round-playoff-quality team) — beating a team stronger than that earns close to full credit, beating a much weaker team earns very little.
LQ — Loss Quality — resume cost from losses only, weighted by opponent strength.
All-Time Rating — 0–990 composite score ranked against every qualifying 6A team-season since 2004; parenthetical is the all-time percentile.