| Wk | Opponent (Rec) Elo | Proj WP% | Result | Perf | AOS | ADS | WQ | LQ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8% (-23) | L 15-28 | 1690 | +0.9 | −6.7 | — | −0.40 | |
| 2 | Alief Elsik (1-5) 920 |
84% (+16) | W 30-0 | 1529 | −6.5 | −7.7 | +0.02 | — |
| 3 | Strake Jesuit (2-5) 1493 |
31% (-8) | W 21-14 | 1654 | −3.4 | −9.5 | +0.24 | — |
| 5 | Spring (2-4) 1061 |
87% (+19) | W 31-28 | 1181 | −4.0 | +8.7 | +0.03 | — |
| 6 | @Aldine Nimitz (3-3) 1518 |
57% (+3) | L 14-31 | 951 | −14.4 | +7.6 | — | −0.85 |
| 7 | @Aldine Davis (5-1) 1655 |
29% (-9) | L 0-21 | 1056 | −25.6 | −7.9 | — | −0.74 |
| 8 | Aldine (0-6) 143 |
> 98% (+47) | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 9 | Aldine MacArthur (4-2) 943 |
83% (+15) | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 10 | 7% (-25) | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 11 | @Aldine Eisenhower (3-3) 1292 |
54% (+1) | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tradition Never Graduates 2026 | @TexasTNG | texastng.com | ||||||||
Rank
#159
was #150
Record
3-3
1-2 district
Elo
1327
#159 of 249
OVR Grade
74
#159 of 249 in 6A
OFF Grade
68.8
#184 of 249 in 6A
DEF Grade
77.2
#104 of 249 in 6A
Perf
1344
#152 of 249 in 6A
Schedule & Results
District Standings Projection - District 14-6A
| Rk | Team (Enroll Rk) | OVR/ |
Overall | District | PPG | PAPG | ProjRec | PO% | Bracket | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tradition Never Graduates 2026 | @TexasTNG | texastng.com | |||||||||||
| ProjRec, PO%, and Bracket represent the result of 10,000 Monte Carlo season simulations from this point forward based on each team's current Elo | |||||||||||
Since 2004
Historical Performance
Shaded band is the 6A league mean Elo ± 1 standard deviation for that season; the dashed gray line is the league mean. The four colored dashed lines mark the Elo needed that season to rank Top 10 / 25 / 50 / 100 among all qualifying 6A team-seasons (min. 8 games) — a rough gauge of how Spring Dekaney’s season stacked up against the state’s best year over year.
Best TNG Rated Seasons
#1 · 2011
14-2
Rating 766 (98th)
#2 · 2012
6-4
Rating 628 (84th)
#3 · 2010
6-4
Rating 611 (80th)
#4 · 2014
5-5
Rating 603 (78th)
#5 · 2015
5-5
Rating 596 (76th)
Team Performance History
| Year | Record | Final Elo |
PPG | PAPG | Margin | Elo SOS |
AOS | ADS | DOM | Perf | RQ | WQ | LQ | All-Time Rating (%ile) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tradition Never Graduates 2026 | @TexasTNG | texastng.com | ||||||||||||||
Margin — Average scoring margin (PPG minus PAPG).
Elo SOS — Average Elo of opponents faced that season, using each opponent's final season Elo.
AOS — Adjusted Offensive Scoring — scoring output compared to the expected average team's offensive performance, adjusted for opponents' defensive strength.
ADS — Adjusted Defensive Scoring — scoring allowed compared to the expected average defensive team's performance, adjusted for opponents' offensive strength; lower (more negative) is better.
DOM — Dominance — AOS minus ADS, combined scoring-margin efficiency.
Perf — Performance Elo — that season's DOM translated onto the Elo scale, an independent check on Elo itself.
RQ — Resume Quality — net wins above a second-round-quality opponent (WQ + LQ) for the season. Typically runs about −10 to +10: 0 is a break-even resume against that bar, the median qualifying season sits around −1, and +5 or better is an elite, deep-playoff-caliber resume.
WQ — Win Quality — resume credit earned from wins only, weighted by opponent strength. Each win's credit is benchmarked against a hypothetical ~1850 Elo opponent (roughly a second-round-playoff-quality team) — beating a team stronger than that earns close to full credit, beating a much weaker team earns very little.
LQ — Loss Quality — resume cost from losses only, weighted by opponent strength.
All-Time Rating — 0–990 composite score ranked against every qualifying 6A team-season since 2004; parenthetical is the all-time percentile.