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CLASS 6A · District 20-6A

Alief Elsik Rams

Enrollment: 3,924 · Dist. Enr. Rk · 1
Rank
#214
was #213
Record
1-5
1-3 district
Elo
920
#214 of 249
OVR Grade
67.8
#214 of 249 in 6A
OFF Grade
60.9
#234 of 249 in 6A
DEF Grade
66.6
#196 of 249 in 6A
Perf
753
#224 of 249 in 6A

Schedule & Results

Wk Opponent (Rec) Elo Proj WP% Result Perf AOS ADS WQ LQ
1
@New Caney West Fork
32% (-7) L 3-20 694 −32.6 −0.4 — −0.94
2
@Spring Dekaney (3-3) 1327
16% (-16) L 0-30 627 −23.6 +11.3 — −0.89
3 76% (+11) W 55-7 1442 +2.4 +4.7 +0.01 —
4
@Alief Taylor (6-1) 1457
8% (-23) L 0-49 377 −25.8 +19.1 — −0.77
5
Houston Lamar (4-2) 1731
4% (-30) L 0-45 645 −20.3 +13.9 — −0.64
6
@Houston Heights (2-4) 1367
18% (-14) L 6-33 731 −20.5 +10.3 — −0.90
8 68% (+7) — — — — — —
9
@Alief Hastings (3-4) 1088
33% (-7) — — — — — —
10 14% (-17) — — — — — —
11
@Houston Memorial (6-0) 1946
< 2% (-41) — — — — — —
Tradition Never Graduates 2026 | @TexasTNG | texastng.com

District Standings Projection - District 20-6A

Rk Team (Enroll Rk) OVR/Elo Overall District PPG PAPG ProjRec PO% Bracket
1 51
Mustangs
83.3
1946
6-0 4-0 44.5 9.7 7.5-0.5 > 98% D2
2 76
Texans
80.1
1731
4-2 4-0 31.8 18.4 6.9-1.1 > 98% D1
3 132
Lions
76
1457
6-1 4-1 39.0 16.7 5.3-2.7 > 98% D1
4 156
Spartans
74.3
1345
2-4 2-2 21.7 28.2 4.4-3.6 46.4% D2
5 148
Bulldogs
74.6
1367
2-4 2-2 24.3 23.2 4.3-3.7 45.8% —
6 195
Bears
70.4
1088
3-4 2-3 22.4 27.7 3.7-4.3 8.3% —
7 214
Rams
67.8
920
1-5 1-3 10.7 30.7 2.2-5.8 < 2% —
8 231
Cardinals
65.1
735
1-6 1-4 12.8 44.8 1.6-6.4 < 2% —
9 243
Wolves
61
464
0-7 0-5 7.1 47.4 0-8 < 2% —
Tradition Never Graduates 2026 | @TexasTNG | texastng.com
ProjRec, PO%, and Bracket represent the result of 10,000 Monte Carlo season simulations from this point forward based on each team's current Elo

Since 2004

Historical Performance

Shaded band is the 6A league mean Elo ± 1 standard deviation for that season; the dashed gray line is the league mean. The four colored dashed lines mark the Elo needed that season to rank Top 10 / 25 / 50 / 100 among all qualifying 6A team-seasons (min. 8 games) — a rough gauge of how Alief Elsik’s season stacked up against the state’s best year over year.

Best TNG Rated Seasons

#1 · 2012
9-4
Rating 648 (87th)
#2 · 2015
7-4
Rating 561 (66th)
#3 · 2004
4-6
Rating 548 (61st)
#4 · 2014
9-2
Rating 540 (59th)
#5 · 2011
6-5
Rating 519 (52nd)

Team Performance History

Year Record Final
Elo
PPG PAPG Margin Elo
SOS
AOS ADS DOM Perf RQ WQ LQ All-Time
Rating (%ile)
2025 2-8 1004 23.1 44.3 −21.2 1534 −3.8 +16.4 −20.2 995 −5.29 +0.13 −5.42 411(17th)
2024 2-9 1040 21.4 39.6 −18.3 1619 −5.2 +10.2 −15.3 1116 −5.66 +0.08 −5.74 431(22nd)
2023 4-6 861 17.8 26.3 −8.5 1257 −13.3 +5.0 −18.3 1042 −4.09 +0.09 −4.18 409(17th)
2022 1-9 731 15.1 35.1 −20.0 1318 −16.8 +11.8 −28.6 784 −6.76 +0.02 −6.78 355(8th)
2021 1-9 817 8.0 37.8 −29.8 1512 −19.5 +8.9 −28.4 789 −5.78 +0.02 −5.80 360(8th)
2020 1-7 948 10.9 42.0 −31.1 1596 −12.5 +14.4 −26.9 827 −4.27 +0.01 −4.28 372(10th)
2019 2-8 1171 14.4 36.7 −22.3 1620 −10.0 +7.8 −17.8 1054 −4.42 +0.25 −4.66 429(22nd)
2018 0-10 1001 11.0 44.6 −33.6 1642 −14.4 +13.4 −27.7 807 −6.69 0.00 −6.69 380(11th)
2017 3-5 1366 16.2 23.9 −7.6 1629 −6.9 −3.8 −3.0 1424 −1.90 +0.64 −2.54 496(43rd)
2016 1-9 1049 10.5 35.9 −25.4 1645 −13.1 +7.0 −20.1 996 −4.97 +0.26 −5.23 410(17th)
2015 7-4 1637 28.9 14.5 +14.4 1332 −1.2 −7.6 +6.4 1659 −1.80 +0.41 −2.21 561(66th)
2014 9-2 1593 33.9 19.4 +14.5 1255 +1.7 −2.3 +4.1 1601 −0.68 +0.88 −1.56 540(59th)
2013 3-6 1243 16.7 22.9 −6.2 1417 −12.1 −1.2 −10.9 1227 −4.57 +0.31 −4.88 460(30th)
2012 9-4 1998 25.2 13.4 +11.8 1598 +1.8 −15.7 +17.5 1937 +0.27 +2.45 −2.18 648(87th)
2011 6-5 1491 27.6 23.6 +4.0 1386 +0.7 +1.4 −0.6 1484 −2.76 +0.52 −3.27 519(52nd)
2010 4-7 1308 28.5 27.4 +1.2 1446 0.0 +1.4 −1.4 1465 −4.93 +0.43 −5.35 501(45th)
2009 6-5 1398 25.5 22.6 +2.9 1462 −1.6 −0.8 −0.8 1480 −2.20 +0.67 −2.87 510(48th)
2008 3-5 1239 23.6 25.5 −1.9 1306 −2.5 +7.1 −9.6 1260 −3.77 +0.15 −3.93 467(32nd)
2007 4-7 1391 24.5 33.5 −9.0 1546 +1.1 +6.8 −5.7 1357 −3.42 +0.74 −4.16 496(43rd)
2006 3-7 1451 27.7 30.9 −3.2 1527 +5.2 +7.0 −1.9 1454 −4.54 +0.34 −4.88 514(49th)
2005 2-7 1311 19.1 35.3 −16.2 1687 −0.2 +8.3 −8.5 1288 −3.79 +0.50 −4.29 480(37th)
2004 4-6 1597 22.3 25.2 −2.9 1630 +3.1 −0.3 +3.5 1586 −2.49 +0.62 −3.11 548(61st)
Tradition Never Graduates 2026 | @TexasTNG | texastng.com
Margin — Average scoring margin (PPG minus PAPG).
Elo SOS — Average Elo of opponents faced that season, using each opponent's final season Elo.
AOS — Adjusted Offensive Scoring — scoring output compared to the expected average team's offensive performance, adjusted for opponents' defensive strength.
ADS — Adjusted Defensive Scoring — scoring allowed compared to the expected average defensive team's performance, adjusted for opponents' offensive strength; lower (more negative) is better.
DOM — Dominance — AOS minus ADS, combined scoring-margin efficiency.
Perf — Performance Elo — that season's DOM translated onto the Elo scale, an independent check on Elo itself.
RQ — Resume Quality — net wins above a second-round-quality opponent (WQ + LQ) for the season. Typically runs about −10 to +10: 0 is a break-even resume against that bar, the median qualifying season sits around −1, and +5 or better is an elite, deep-playoff-caliber resume.
WQ — Win Quality — resume credit earned from wins only, weighted by opponent strength. Each win's credit is benchmarked against a hypothetical ~1850 Elo opponent (roughly a second-round-playoff-quality team) — beating a team stronger than that earns close to full credit, beating a much weaker team earns very little.
LQ — Loss Quality — resume cost from losses only, weighted by opponent strength.
All-Time Rating — 0–990 composite score ranked against every qualifying 6A team-season since 2004; parenthetical is the all-time percentile.