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CLASS 6A · District 14-6A

Aldine Nimitz Cougars

Enrollment: 3,228 · Dist. Enr. Rk · 3
Rank
#119
was #106
Record
3-3
2-1 district
Elo
1518
#119 of 249
OVR Grade
76.9
#119 of 249 in 6A
OFF Grade
75.5
#116 of 249 in 6A
DEF Grade
73.8
#136 of 249 in 6A
Perf
1483
#129 of 249 in 6A

Schedule & Results

Wk Opponent (Rec) Elo Proj WP% Result Perf AOS ADS WQ LQ
1
@#43Barbers Hill (6-0) 2004
 19% (-14) L 10-38 1513 −7.7 −8.2 — −0.53
2
Jersey Village (1-5) 923
 93% (+24) W 28-21 1507 +3.3 +3.0 +0.01 —
3
@#25Cy Ranch (5-1) 2165
 4% (-30) L 7-52 1204 −1.4 +10.4 — −0.20
5
@Aldine (0-6) 143
 > 98% (+51) W 61-0 1604 +4.0 −0.2 +0.00 —
6
Spring Dekaney (3-3) 1327
 43% (-3) W 31-14 1802 +7.4 −4.7 +0.19 —
7
@#49Spring Westfield (4-2) 1956
 18% (-15) L 6-37 1268 −1.1 +8.1 — −0.43
8
Aldine Eisenhower (3-3) 1292
 72% (+9) — — — — — —
9
@Spring (2-4) 1061
 87% (+18) — — — — — —
10
@Aldine MacArthur (4-2) 943
 92% (+23) — — — — — —
11
Aldine Davis (5-1) 1655
 36% (-5) — — — — — —
Tradition Never Graduates 2026 | @TexasTNG | texastng.com

District Standings Projection - District 14-6A

Rk Team (Enroll Rk) OVR/Elo Overall District PPG PAPG ProjRec PO% Bracket
1 49
Mustangs
83.5
1956
 4-2 3-0 24.8 6.2 6.7-0.3 > 98% D2
2 92
Falcons
78.9
1655
 5-1 3-0 34.7 19.5 5.6-1.4 > 98% D1
3 119
Cougars
76.9
1518
 3-3 2-1 23.8 27.0 4.9-2.1 96.9% D1
4 159
Wildcats
74
1327
 3-3 1-2 18.5 20.3 3.4-3.6 62.9% D2
5 164
Eagles
73.5
1292
 3-3 1-2 17.5 25.2 2.9-4.1 28.1% —
6 200
Lions
70
1061
 2-4 1-2 19.8 34.0 2.8-4.2 10% —
7 210
Generals
68.2
943
 4-2 1-2 30.5 25.8 1.6-5.3 2.6% —
8 249
Mustangs
56.1
143
 0-6 0-3 1.2 47.3 0-7 < 2% —
Tradition Never Graduates 2026 | @TexasTNG | texastng.com
ProjRec, PO%, and Bracket represent the result of 10,000 Monte Carlo season simulations from this point forward based on each team's current Elo

Since 2004

Historical Performance

Shaded band is the 6A league mean Elo ± 1 standard deviation for that season; the dashed gray line is the league mean. The four colored dashed lines mark the Elo needed that season to rank Top 10 / 25 / 50 / 100 among all qualifying 6A team-seasons (min. 8 games) — a rough gauge of how Aldine Nimitz’s season stacked up against the state’s best year over year.

Best TNG Rated Seasons

#1 · 2012
7-4
Rating 551 (62nd)
#2 · 2024
7-4
Rating 545 (60th)
#3 · 2023
8-3
Rating 539 (59th)
#4 · 2025
8-3
Rating 532 (56th)
#5 · 2004
6-5
Rating 524 (54th)

Team Performance History

Year Record Final
Elo		 PPG PAPG Margin Elo
SOS		 AOS ADS DOM Perf RQ WQ LQ All-Time
Rating (%ile)
2025 8-3 1581 35.2 18.6 +16.5 1130 +1.4 +1.2 +0.2 1504 −1.49 +0.55 −2.04 532(56th)
2024 7-4 1540 38.3 23.3 +15.0 1262 +8.0 +2.5 +5.4 1635 −1.83 +0.38 −2.22 545(60th)
2023 8-3 1491 34.8 20.9 +13.9 1235 +1.6 −2.2 +3.8 1595 −0.52 +0.38 −0.91 539(59th)
2022 6-5 1354 33.5 28.5 +4.9 1318 +0.7 +5.1 −4.5 1388 −2.25 +0.67 −2.93 491(41st)
2021 4-7 1254 15.8 29.6 −13.8 1453 −15.1 +1.9 −17.0 1076 −3.47 +0.14 −3.61 437(24th)
2020 3-4 1150 22.9 29.9 −7.0 1400 −5.4 +6.1 −11.5 1213 −2.18 +0.09 −2.27 —
2019 3-7 948 16.4 31.4 −15.0 1362 −12.7 +6.4 −19.1 1023 −5.18 +0.15 −5.33 404(16th)
2018 4-6 1244 33.8 38.9 −5.1 1290 +1.7 +14.3 −12.5 1186 −4.04 +0.62 −4.67 453(29th)
2017 4-5 1225 20.8 24.9 −4.1 1392 −5.8 +1.1 −6.9 1327 −2.44 +0.81 −3.25 470(33rd)
2016 3-7 1007 11.1 27.1 −16.0 1364 −17.4 +2.9 −20.3 993 −4.51 +0.12 −4.64 406(16th)
2015 2-9 984 16.7 43.2 −26.5 1406 −12.5 +18.3 −30.8 731 −6.50 +0.04 −6.53 369(9th)
2014 2-8 866 19.7 32.3 −12.6 1377 −10.3 +9.6 −19.9 1003 −6.22 +0.08 −6.30 395(14th)
2013 4-7 1294 27.3 39.1 −11.8 1387 −1.0 +15.6 −16.6 1086 −5.34 +0.78 −6.12 446(26th)
2012 7-4 1565 31.7 18.5 +13.3 1355 +2.5 −4.6 +7.1 1679 −2.47 +0.51 −2.98 551(62nd)
2011 4-7 1498 18.1 26.5 −8.4 1531 −6.2 +1.7 −7.9 1302 −4.41 +0.65 −5.06 496(43rd)
2010 3-7 1155 14.1 26.5 −12.4 1415 −14.8 +0.2 −15.0 1124 −5.41 +0.20 −5.60 442(25th)
2009 4-6 1295 21.6 28.5 −6.9 1405 −3.1 +5.3 −8.5 1288 −4.11 +0.73 −4.84 475(35th)
2008 3-6 1238 21.4 24.1 −2.7 1480 −4.1 +0.3 −4.4 1389 −4.24 +0.32 −4.55 484(38th)
2007 6-4 1271 22.6 20.3 +2.3 1390 −4.5 −2.5 −2.1 1448 −2.51 +0.60 −3.11 497(43rd)
2006 6-4 1377 25.1 21.2 +3.9 1355 −3.0 −0.8 −2.2 1444 −2.42 +0.68 −3.10 506(47th)
2005 7-4 1490 21.6 17.5 +4.2 1351 −4.2 −2.8 −1.4 1465 −1.72 +1.33 −3.05 524(53rd)
2004 6-5 1479 23.1 20.3 +2.8 1414 −1.8 −1.5 −0.3 1492 −2.76 +0.91 −3.67 524(54th)
Tradition Never Graduates 2026 | @TexasTNG | texastng.com
Margin — Average scoring margin (PPG minus PAPG).
Elo SOS — Average Elo of opponents faced that season, using each opponent's final season Elo.
AOS — Adjusted Offensive Scoring — scoring output compared to the expected average team's offensive performance, adjusted for opponents' defensive strength.
ADS — Adjusted Defensive Scoring — scoring allowed compared to the expected average defensive team's performance, adjusted for opponents' offensive strength; lower (more negative) is better.
DOM — Dominance — AOS minus ADS, combined scoring-margin efficiency.
Perf — Performance Elo — that season's DOM translated onto the Elo scale, an independent check on Elo itself.
RQ — Resume Quality — net wins above a second-round-quality opponent (WQ + LQ) for the season. Typically runs about −10 to +10: 0 is a break-even resume against that bar, the median qualifying season sits around −1, and +5 or better is an elite, deep-playoff-caliber resume.
WQ — Win Quality — resume credit earned from wins only, weighted by opponent strength. Each win's credit is benchmarked against a hypothetical ~1850 Elo opponent (roughly a second-round-playoff-quality team) — beating a team stronger than that earns close to full credit, beating a much weaker team earns very little.
LQ — Loss Quality — resume cost from losses only, weighted by opponent strength.
All-Time Rating — 0–990 composite score ranked against every qualifying 6A team-season since 2004; parenthetical is the all-time percentile.