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CLASS 6A · District 13-6A

Conroe Tigers

Enrollment: 5,304 · Dist. Enr. Rk · 1
Rank
#116
was #115
Record
3-3
2-1 district
Elo
1530
#116 of 249
OVR Grade
77.1
#116 of 249 in 6A
OFF Grade
80.8
#70 of 249 in 6A
DEF Grade
74.8
#122 of 249 in 6A
Perf
1700
#91 of 249 in 6A

Schedule & Results

Wk Opponent (Rec) Elo Proj WP% Result Perf AOS ADS WQ LQ
1
@#6Sheldon CE King (6-1) 2580
 < 2% (-41) L 10-70 1289 +3.0 +11.5 — −0.06
2
Katy Morton Ranch (2-4) 1216
 71% (+9) W 49-20 1796 +12.4 +0.5 +0.08 —
3
#50Waller (5-1) 1950
 15% (-17) L 24-47 1482 +1.8 +2.5 — −0.38
5
Conroe Grand Oaks (4-2) 1841
 17% (-15) L 25-41 1310 −0.6 +7.0 — −0.46
6
@Conroe Oak Ridge (1-5) 1070
 83% (+15) W 42-10 2089 +10.8 −12.7 +0.04 —
7
Conroe Caney Creek (2-4) 744
 96% (+31) W 63-7 2234 +22.3 −7.0 +0.01 —
8
@#36The Woodlands College Park (3-3) 2049
 10% (-21) — — — — — —
9
#17The Woodlands (5-1) 2314
 4% (-31) — — — — — —
10
@Cleveland (2-4) 465
 > 98% (+43) — — — — — —
11
#40Willis (4-2) 2033
 11% (-20) — — — — — —
Tradition Never Graduates 2026 | @TexasTNG | texastng.com

District Standings Projection - District 13-6A

Rk Team (Enroll Rk) OVR/Elo Overall District PPG PAPG ProjRec PO% Bracket
1 17
Highlanders
88.9
2314
 5-1 3-0 47.3 17.2 6.8-0.2 > 98% D1
2 36
Cavaliers
84.9
2049
 3-3 2-1 36.0 30.2 5.6-1.4 97.5% D2
3 40
Wildkats
84.6
2033
 4-2 1-2 29.0 28.8 4.9-2.1 96.1% D2
4 62
Grizzlies
81.8
1841
 4-2 2-1 30.2 30.3 4.4-2.6 > 98% D1
5 116
Tigers
77.1
1530
 3-3 2-1 35.5 32.5 3.2-3.8 7.9% —
6 230
Panthers
65.2
744
 2-4 1-2 20.8 33.5 1.2-5.8 < 2% —
7 198
War Eagles
70.1
1070
 1-5 1-2 23.0 30.3 1.8-5.2 < 2% —
8 242
Indians
61
465
 2-4 0-3 16.5 33.7 0-7 < 2% —
Tradition Never Graduates 2026 | @TexasTNG | texastng.com
ProjRec, PO%, and Bracket represent the result of 10,000 Monte Carlo season simulations from this point forward based on each team's current Elo

Since 2004

Historical Performance

Shaded band is the 6A league mean Elo ± 1 standard deviation for that season; the dashed gray line is the league mean. The four colored dashed lines mark the Elo needed that season to rank Top 10 / 25 / 50 / 100 among all qualifying 6A team-seasons (min. 8 games) — a rough gauge of how Conroe’s season stacked up against the state’s best year over year.

Best TNG Rated Seasons

#1 · 2008
6-4
Rating 580 (72nd)
#2 · 2024
9-3
Rating 580 (72nd)
#3 · 2007
8-3
Rating 570 (69th)
#4 · 2023
6-5
Rating 553 (63rd)
#5 · 2022
6-5
Rating 549 (62nd)

Team Performance History

Year Record Final
Elo		 PPG PAPG Margin Elo
SOS		 AOS ADS DOM Perf RQ WQ LQ All-Time
Rating (%ile)
2025 6-4 1567 27.4 20.5 +6.9 1354 −3.7 −4.9 +1.3 1532 −1.37 +0.32 −1.69 534(57th)
2024 9-3 1800 28.8 20.6 +8.2 1435 −3.0 −8.4 +5.4 1635 +0.35 +1.03 −0.68 580(72nd)
2023 6-5 1657 31.6 28.1 +3.5 1517 +2.6 −1.1 +3.7 1592 −1.27 +0.73 −1.99 553(63rd)
2022 6-5 1608 33.6 30.7 +2.9 1566 +6.5 +0.6 +6.0 1649 −1.55 +0.52 −2.07 549(62nd)
2021 5-6 1560 28.9 37.7 −8.8 1706 +5.7 +4.1 +1.7 1541 −1.95 +0.75 −2.70 526(54th)
2020 3-7 1310 27.2 24.9 +2.3 1445 −0.8 −1.9 +1.0 1526 −4.79 +0.53 −5.31 498(43rd)
2019 5-5 1404 33.6 28.9 +4.7 1579 +8.7 +0.3 +8.3 1709 −2.34 +0.59 −2.93 537(58th)
2018 3-7 1188 26.3 42.1 −15.8 1571 +0.3 +11.6 −11.3 1218 −3.75 +0.10 −3.85 452(28th)
2017 1-7 1109 17.4 36.1 −18.8 1621 −7.9 +5.3 −13.1 1172 −3.98 +0.04 −4.01 439(24th)
2016 3-7 1198 27.0 37.4 −10.4 1563 −2.2 +6.0 −8.2 1295 −4.04 +0.26 −4.31 464(31st)
2015 4-6 1237 21.7 32.7 −11.0 1431 −6.8 +7.1 −13.9 1152 −3.41 +0.22 −3.63 447(27th)
2014 3-7 1149 32.7 33.4 −0.7 1416 +4.6 +8.0 −3.4 1415 −4.44 +0.14 −4.58 475(35th)
2013 4-6 1177 25.0 36.4 −11.4 1530 −3.3 +9.0 −12.3 1192 −3.23 +0.45 −3.68 449(27th)
2012 3-8 1162 25.3 44.2 −18.9 1523 −1.1 +15.7 −16.8 1079 −4.39 +0.22 −4.61 434(23rd)
2011 2-8 1262 22.2 35.5 −13.3 1595 −2.2 +7.0 −9.2 1269 −5.08 +0.18 −5.26 470(33rd)
2010 1-9 1149 14.6 37.7 −23.1 1556 −11.9 +8.1 −20.0 1000 −6.22 +0.15 −6.37 424(21st)
2009 5-6 1541 26.6 29.6 −3.0 1619 +3.4 +1.5 +1.9 1547 −2.23 +0.51 −2.73 532(56th)
2008 6-4 1689 28.1 17.4 +10.7 1501 +3.8 −7.3 +11.1 1777 −1.35 +1.04 −2.38 580(72nd)
2007 8-3 1710 25.1 17.7 +7.4 1464 +0.4 −6.5 +6.9 1672 −0.01 +1.30 −1.30 570(69th)
2006 5-5 1419 18.1 17.9 +0.2 1519 −6.4 −7.2 +0.9 1522 −2.56 +0.60 −3.16 523(53rd)
2005 5-5 1518 18.7 20.9 −2.2 1548 −3.1 −3.6 +0.5 1512 −2.13 +0.80 −2.93 528(55th)
2004 5-5 1395 21.1 28.8 −7.7 1527 −2.0 +2.9 −4.8 1379 −2.61 +0.33 −2.95 503(45th)
Tradition Never Graduates 2026 | @TexasTNG | texastng.com
Margin — Average scoring margin (PPG minus PAPG).
Elo SOS — Average Elo of opponents faced that season, using each opponent's final season Elo.
AOS — Adjusted Offensive Scoring — scoring output compared to the expected average team's offensive performance, adjusted for opponents' defensive strength.
ADS — Adjusted Defensive Scoring — scoring allowed compared to the expected average defensive team's performance, adjusted for opponents' offensive strength; lower (more negative) is better.
DOM — Dominance — AOS minus ADS, combined scoring-margin efficiency.
Perf — Performance Elo — that season's DOM translated onto the Elo scale, an independent check on Elo itself.
RQ — Resume Quality — net wins above a second-round-quality opponent (WQ + LQ) for the season. Typically runs about −10 to +10: 0 is a break-even resume against that bar, the median qualifying season sits around −1, and +5 or better is an elite, deep-playoff-caliber resume.
WQ — Win Quality — resume credit earned from wins only, weighted by opponent strength. Each win's credit is benchmarked against a hypothetical ~1850 Elo opponent (roughly a second-round-playoff-quality team) — beating a team stronger than that earns close to full credit, beating a much weaker team earns very little.
LQ — Loss Quality — resume cost from losses only, weighted by opponent strength.
All-Time Rating — 0–990 composite score ranked against every qualifying 6A team-season since 2004; parenthetical is the all-time percentile.