| Wk | Opponent (Rec) Elo | Proj WP% | Result | Perf | AOS | ADS | WQ | LQ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | @Arlington Lamar (3-3) 1461 |
11% (-20) | W 31-10 | 1950 | +1.1 | −16.9 | +0.31 | — |
| 2 | Mansfield Legacy |
70% (+8) | W 42-21 | 1665 | +6.8 | +0.2 | +0.06 | — |
| 3 | McKinney (1-5) 1457 |
43% (-3) | W 31-28 | 1502 | −3.5 | −3.5 | +0.21 | — |
| 5 | @Lewisville Hebron (4-2) 1854 |
33% (-7) | L 21-24 | 1642 | −0.9 | −6.5 | — | −0.67 |
| 6 | Flower Mound (5-1) 1720 |
41% (-4) | L 12-14 | 1760 | −6.3 | −16.7 | — | −0.76 |
| 7 | @Denton Braswell (5-1) 1736 |
26% (-10) | L 42-48 | 1483 | +16.1 | +16.7 | — | −0.65 |
| 8 | 3% (-33) | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 9 | Flower Mound Marcus (2-4) 1424 |
50% (+0) | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 10 | @Frisco Wakeland (2-4) 1457 |
47% (-1) | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 11 | #9Lewisville (3-3) 2457 |
< 2% (-41) | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tradition Never Graduates 2026 | @TexasTNG | texastng.com | ||||||||
Rank
#139
was #132
Record
3-3
0-3 district
Elo
1426
#139 of 249
OVR Grade
75.5
#139 of 249 in 6A
OFF Grade
76.6
#107 of 249 in 6A
DEF Grade
78.8
#86 of 249 in 6A
Perf
1667
#97 of 249 in 6A
Schedule & Results
District Standings Projection - District 5-6A
| Rk | Team (Enroll Rk) | OVR/ |
Overall | District | PPG | PAPG | ProjRec | PO% | Bracket | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tradition Never Graduates 2026 | @TexasTNG | texastng.com | |||||||||||
| ProjRec, PO%, and Bracket represent the result of 10,000 Monte Carlo season simulations from this point forward based on each team's current Elo | |||||||||||
Since 2004
Historical Performance
Shaded band is the 6A league mean Elo ± 1 standard deviation for that season; the dashed gray line is the league mean. The four colored dashed lines mark the Elo needed that season to rank Top 10 / 25 / 50 / 100 among all qualifying 6A team-seasons (min. 8 games) — a rough gauge of how Little Elm’s season stacked up against the state’s best year over year.
Best TNG Rated Seasons
#1 · 2021
5-5
Rating 570 (69th)
#2 · 2022
2-8
Rating 488 (39th)
#3 · 2020
2-8
Rating 468 (32nd)
#4 · 2025
0-10
Rating 452 (28th)
#5 · 2023
2-8
Rating 443 (26th)
Team Performance History
| Year | Record | Final Elo |
PPG | PAPG | Margin | Elo SOS |
AOS | ADS | DOM | Perf | RQ | WQ | LQ | All-Time Rating (%ile) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tradition Never Graduates 2026 | @TexasTNG | texastng.com | ||||||||||||||
Margin — Average scoring margin (PPG minus PAPG).
Elo SOS — Average Elo of opponents faced that season, using each opponent's final season Elo.
AOS — Adjusted Offensive Scoring — scoring output compared to the expected average team's offensive performance, adjusted for opponents' defensive strength.
ADS — Adjusted Defensive Scoring — scoring allowed compared to the expected average defensive team's performance, adjusted for opponents' offensive strength; lower (more negative) is better.
DOM — Dominance — AOS minus ADS, combined scoring-margin efficiency.
Perf — Performance Elo — that season's DOM translated onto the Elo scale, an independent check on Elo itself.
RQ — Resume Quality — net wins above a second-round-quality opponent (WQ + LQ) for the season. Typically runs about −10 to +10: 0 is a break-even resume against that bar, the median qualifying season sits around −1, and +5 or better is an elite, deep-playoff-caliber resume.
WQ — Win Quality — resume credit earned from wins only, weighted by opponent strength. Each win's credit is benchmarked against a hypothetical ~1850 Elo opponent (roughly a second-round-playoff-quality team) — beating a team stronger than that earns close to full credit, beating a much weaker team earns very little.
LQ — Loss Quality — resume cost from losses only, weighted by opponent strength.
All-Time Rating — 0–990 composite score ranked against every qualifying 6A team-season since 2004; parenthetical is the all-time percentile.