| Wk | Opponent (Rec) Elo | Proj WP% | Result | Perf | AOS | ADS | WQ | LQ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Mansfield Lake Ridge (4-2) 1880 |
54% (+2) | W 49-28 | 2279 | +16.9 | −14.2 | +0.50 | — |
| 2 | Lewisville Hebron (4-2) 1854 |
75% (+11) | W 35-0 | 2592 | +13.1 | −30.5 | +0.37 | — |
| 3 | @Frisco Reedy |
69% (+8) | W 37-9 | 2483 | +14.7 | −24.7 | +0.50 | — |
| 4 | McKinney (1-5) 1457 |
93% (+25) | W 63-35 | 2127 | +28.5 | +3.5 | +0.17 | — |
| 5 | @Prosper Rock Hill (3-3) 1541 |
91% (+22) | W 44-23 | 2009 | +17.8 | −2.5 | +0.23 | — |
| 7 | Dallas Jesuit (4-2) 1660 |
90% (+21) | L 49-50 | 1680 | +20.4 | +13.2 | — | −0.74 |
| 8 | @McKinney Boyd (2-4) 1298 |
96% (+31) | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 9 | Princeton (2-4) 1089 |
> 98% (+40) | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 10 | #11Prosper (5-1) 2389 |
21% (-12) | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 11 | 4% (-31) | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Tradition Never Graduates 2026 | @TexasTNG | texastng.com | ||||||||
Rank
#31
was #27
Record
5-1
2-1 district
Elo
2078
#31 of 249
OVR Grade
85.3
#31 of 249 in 6A
OFF Grade
88.1
#19 of 249 in 6A
DEF Grade
82.8
#52 of 249 in 6A
Perf
2195
#31 of 249 in 6A
Schedule & Results
District Standings Projection - District 6-6A
| Rk | Team (Enroll Rk) | OVR/ |
Overall | District | PPG | PAPG | ProjRec | PO% | Bracket | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tradition Never Graduates 2026 | @TexasTNG | texastng.com | |||||||||||
| ProjRec, PO%, and Bracket represent the result of 10,000 Monte Carlo season simulations from this point forward based on each team's current Elo | |||||||||||
Since 2004
Historical Performance
Shaded band is the 6A league mean Elo ± 1 standard deviation for that season; the dashed gray line is the league mean. The four colored dashed lines mark the Elo needed that season to rank Top 10 / 25 / 50 / 100 among all qualifying 6A team-seasons (min. 8 games) — a rough gauge of how Prosper Walnut Grove’s season stacked up against the state’s best year over year.
Best TNG Rated Seasons
Team Performance History
| Year | Record | Final Elo |
PPG | PAPG | Margin | Elo SOS |
AOS | ADS | DOM | Perf | RQ | WQ | LQ | All-Time Rating (%ile) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tradition Never Graduates 2026 | @TexasTNG | texastng.com | ||||||||||||||
Margin — Average scoring margin (PPG minus PAPG).
Elo SOS — Average Elo of opponents faced that season, using each opponent's final season Elo.
AOS — Adjusted Offensive Scoring — scoring output compared to the expected average team's offensive performance, adjusted for opponents' defensive strength.
ADS — Adjusted Defensive Scoring — scoring allowed compared to the expected average defensive team's performance, adjusted for opponents' offensive strength; lower (more negative) is better.
DOM — Dominance — AOS minus ADS, combined scoring-margin efficiency.
Perf — Performance Elo — that season's DOM translated onto the Elo scale, an independent check on Elo itself.
RQ — Resume Quality — net wins above a second-round-quality opponent (WQ + LQ) for the season. Typically runs about −10 to +10: 0 is a break-even resume against that bar, the median qualifying season sits around −1, and +5 or better is an elite, deep-playoff-caliber resume.
WQ — Win Quality — resume credit earned from wins only, weighted by opponent strength. Each win's credit is benchmarked against a hypothetical ~1850 Elo opponent (roughly a second-round-playoff-quality team) — beating a team stronger than that earns close to full credit, beating a much weaker team earns very little.
LQ — Loss Quality — resume cost from losses only, weighted by opponent strength.
All-Time Rating — 0–990 composite score ranked against every qualifying 6A team-season since 2004; parenthetical is the all-time percentile.