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CLASS 6A · District 4-6A

Southlake Carroll Dragons

Enrollment: 2,762 · Dist. Enr. Rk · 6
Rank
#9
was #9
Record
0-0
0-0 district
Elo
2444
#9 of 249
OVR Grade
90.9
#9 of 249 in 6A
OFF Grade
DEF Grade
Perf

Schedule & Results

Wk Opponent (Rec) Elo Proj WP% Result Perf WQ LQ
1
@Jenks (OK)
91% (+22)
2
@#4North Crowley (0-0) 2608
34% (-7)
3
#6Allen (0-0) 2516
43% (-3)
4
@Keller Central (0-0) 1456
> 98% (+40)
5
Northwest Eaton (0-0) 1456
> 98% (+40)
7
Justin Northwest (0-0) 1333
> 98% (+44)
8
Keller (0-0) 1583
97% (+34)
9
@#30Byron Nelson (0-0) 2077
82% (+15)
10 > 98% (+39)
11
@Fort Worth Boswell (0-0) 1376
> 98% (+43)
Tradition Never Graduates 2026 | @TexasTNG | texastng.com

District Standings Projection - District 4-6A

Rk Team (Enroll Rk) OVR/Elo Overall District PPG PAPG ProjRec PO% Bracket
1 9
Dragons
90.9
2444
0-0 0-0 6.7-0.3 > 98% D2
2 30
Bobcats
85.3
2077
0-0 0-0 5.8-1.2 > 98% D1
3 98
Indians
77.9
1583
0-0 0-0 3.5-3.5 66.1% D1
4 123
Falcons
76.3
1477
0-0 0-0 2.8-4.2 39% D2
5 130
Chargers
75.9
1456
0-0 0-0 2.6-4.4 32.7%
6 130
Eagles
75.9
1456
0-0 0-0 2.6-4.4 31.7%
7 150
Pioneers
74.7
1376
0-0 0-0 2.1-4.9 17.9%
8 158
Texans
74.1
1333
0-0 0-0 1.9-5.1 12.8%
Tradition Never Graduates 2026 | @TexasTNG | texastng.com

Since 2004

Historical Performance

Shaded band is the 6A league mean Elo ± 1 standard deviation for that season; the dashed gray line is the league mean. The four colored dashed lines mark the Elo needed that season to rank Top 10 / 25 / 50 / 100 among all qualifying 6A team-seasons (min. 8 games) — a rough gauge of how Southlake Carroll’s season stacked up against the state’s best year over year.

Best TNG Rated Seasons

#1 · 2006
16-0
Rating 900 (100th)
#2 · 2005
16-0
Rating 895 (100th)
#3 · 2021
14-1
Rating 851 (99th)
#4 · 2004
16-0
Rating 843 (99th)
#5 · 2025
14-1
Rating 823 (99th)

Team Performance History

Year Record Final
Elo
PPG PAPG Margin Elo
SOS
AOS ADS DOM Perf RQ WQ LQ All-Time
Rating (%ile)
2025 14-1 2638 51.3 12.5 +38.8 1746 +26.7 −22.4 +49.2 2729 +5.31 +5.35 −0.04 823(99th)
2024 15-1 2526 47.8 22.0 +25.8 1817 +24.3 −13.4 +37.8 2444 +6.70 +6.78 −0.09 771(98th)
2023 13-2 2471 53.5 14.3 +39.1 1715 +26.1 −20.7 +46.8 2670 +4.02 +4.25 −0.24 805(99th)
2022 13-1 2523 47.1 15.4 +31.7 1676 +20.4 −18.2 +38.6 2464 +4.28 +4.31 −0.02 757(98th)
2021 14-1 2727 44.4 14.5 +29.9 2006 +24.2 −27.5 +51.8 2794 +8.26 +8.28 −0.02 851(99th)
2020 12-2 2655 45.8 27.1 +18.6 1946 +25.9 −11.8 +37.7 2442 +5.33 +5.44 −0.10 794(99th)
2019 13-1 2513 49.4 15.7 +33.6 1858 +29.6 −18.9 +48.5 2712 +5.52 +5.54 −0.02 808(99th)
2018 13-1 2419 39.9 19.2 +20.6 1845 +20.2 −14.5 +34.7 2367 +5.79 +5.84 −0.05 745(97th)
2017 10-4 2353 35.2 23.3 +11.9 1889 +16.7 −12.3 +29.1 2227 +2.71 +3.89 −1.18 724(96th)
2016 10-2 2468 36.8 18.8 +18.0 1822 +15.6 −18.9 +34.5 2363 +4.51 +5.43 −0.92 730(96th)
2015 9-3 2284 41.9 23.2 +18.7 1803 +20.8 −12.2 +33.0 2325 +2.52 +3.28 −0.76 707(94th)
2014 12-1 2484 40.5 20.0 +20.5 1867 +18.3 −17.0 +35.3 2382 +6.29 +6.34 −0.06 751(97th)
2013 11-2 2430 51.4 17.2 +34.2 1790 +27.7 −18.2 +45.9 2648 +2.96 +3.09 −0.13 779(98th)
2012 12-2 2534 50.7 11.3 +39.4 1703 +26.6 −20.0 +46.6 2664 +3.70 +3.80 −0.11 804(99th)
2011 16-0 2630 32.6 18.4 +14.2 1807 +12.3 −15.2 +27.6 2189 +8.02 +8.02 0.00 813(99th)
2010 10-4 2172 34.0 21.7 +12.3 1682 +9.8 −12.0 +21.8 2046 +1.54 +2.85 −1.31 673(91st)
2009 11-2 2165 41.8 19.7 +22.1 1863 +19.3 −17.4 +36.7 2418 +4.64 +5.20 −0.56 728(96th)
2008 8-3 2241 37.4 22.8 +14.5 1898 +18.0 −13.2 +31.2 2279 +2.49 +3.49 −0.99 721(96th)
2007 11-2 2740 44.5 19.5 +25.0 1598 +23.2 −10.4 +33.7 2341 +2.52 +3.64 −1.12 748(97th)
2006 16-0 2839 44.3 11.2 +33.1 1774 +22.7 −23.2 +45.9 2647 +6.68 +6.68 0.00 900(100th)
2005 16-0 2800 47.8 16.0 +31.8 1854 +27.9 −16.9 +44.8 2621 +8.39 +8.39 0.00 895(100th)
2004 16-0 2638 45.0 20.1 +24.9 1780 +23.3 −13.8 +37.1 2428 +7.69 +7.69 0.00 843(99th)
Tradition Never Graduates 2026 | @TexasTNG | texastng.com
Margin — Average scoring margin (PPG minus PAPG).
Elo SOS — Average Elo of opponents faced that season, using each opponent's final season Elo.
AOS — Adjusted Offensive Scoring — scoring output compared to the expected average team's offensive performance, adjusted for opponents' defensive strength.
ADS — Adjusted Defensive Scoring — scoring allowed compared to the expected average defensive team's performance, adjusted for opponents' offensive strength; lower (more negative) is better.
DOM — Dominance — AOS minus ADS, combined scoring-margin efficiency.
Perf — Performance Elo — that season's DOM translated onto the Elo scale, an independent check on Elo itself.
RQ — Resume Quality — net wins above a second-round-quality opponent (WQ + LQ) for the season. Typically runs about −10 to +10: 0 is a break-even resume against that bar, the median qualifying season sits around −1, and +5 or better is an elite, deep-playoff-caliber resume.
WQ — Win Quality — resume credit earned from wins only, weighted by opponent strength. Each win's credit is benchmarked against a hypothetical ~1850 Elo opponent (roughly a second-round-playoff-quality team) — beating a team stronger than that earns close to full credit, beating a much weaker team earns very little.
LQ — Loss Quality — resume cost from losses only, weighted by opponent strength.
All-Time Rating — 0–990 composite score ranked against every qualifying 6A team-season since 2004; parenthetical is the all-time percentile.