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CLASS 6A · District 7-6A

Richardson Pearce Mustangs

Enrollment: 2,340 · Dist. Enr. Rk · 7
Rank
#206
was #205
Record
0-6
0-3 district
Elo
1004
#206 of 249
OVR Grade
69.1
#206 of 249 in 6A
OFF Grade
65.5
#214 of 249 in 6A
DEF Grade
69.5
#177 of 249 in 6A
Perf
1002
#199 of 249 in 6A

Schedule & Results

Wk Opponent (Rec) Elo Proj WP% Result Perf AOS ADS WQ LQ
1
Wylie (4-2) 1571
 40% (-4) L 23-41 1270 −7.9 +1.3 — −0.90
2
McKinney Boyd (2-4) 1298
 38% (-5) L 7-29 829 −19.5 +7.4 — −0.92
3
@Flower Mound Marcus (2-4) 1424
 9% (-22) L 14-45 592 −18.1 +18.3 — −0.72
4
@Plano (2-4) 1451
 23% (-11) L 9-21 1117 −18.5 −3.2 — −0.90
5
@#21Coppell (5-1) 2214
 < 2% (-48) L 10-55 1248 −0.3 +9.7 — −0.18
7
Richardson Lake Highlands (4-2) 1695
 6% (-27) L 9-37 957 −16.3 +5.5 — −0.67
8
@Plano West (2-4) 1342
 20% (-14) — — — — — —
9
Richardson (1-5) 1192
 31% (-8) — — — — — —
10
@Plano East (4-2) 1678
 6% (-27) — — — — — —
11
Richardson Berkner (2-4) 1624
 7% (-25) — — — — — —
Tradition Never Graduates 2026 | @TexasTNG | texastng.com

District Standings Projection - District 7-6A

Rk Team (Enroll Rk) OVR/Elo Overall District PPG PAPG ProjRec PO% Bracket
1 21
Cowboys
87.4
2214
 5-1 3-0 42.5 13.0 6.8-0.2 > 98% D1
2 86
Wildcats
79.6
1695
 4-2 3-0 30.5 26.5 5.5-1.5 > 98% D2
3 88
Panthers
79.3
1678
 4-2 2-1 32.2 18.7 4.3-2.7 87.2% D1
4 97
Rams
78.5
1624
 2-4 1-2 27.0 27.0 3.9-3.1 76.1% D2
5 133
Wildcats
75.9
1451
 2-4 2-1 22.2 28.5 3.5-3.5 33.9% —
6 157
Wolves
74.2
1342
 2-4 1-2 20.5 24.5 2.4-4.6 3.4% —
7 206
Mustangs
69.1
1004
 0-6 0-3 12.0 38.0 0.6-6.4 < 2% —
8 179
Eagles
72
1192
 1-5 0-3 20.8 40.5 1-6 < 2% —
Tradition Never Graduates 2026 | @TexasTNG | texastng.com
ProjRec, PO%, and Bracket represent the result of 10,000 Monte Carlo season simulations from this point forward based on each team's current Elo

Since 2004

Historical Performance

Shaded band is the 6A league mean Elo ± 1 standard deviation for that season; the dashed gray line is the league mean. The four colored dashed lines mark the Elo needed that season to rank Top 10 / 25 / 50 / 100 among all qualifying 6A team-seasons (min. 8 games) — a rough gauge of how Richardson Pearce’s season stacked up against the state’s best year over year.

Best TNG Rated Seasons

#1 · 2004
8-2
Rating 555 (63rd)
#2 · 2024
9-3
Rating 553 (63rd)
#3 · 2018
7-4
Rating 547 (61st)
#4 · 2017
6-6
Rating 539 (58th)
#5 · 2005
7-3
Rating 523 (53rd)

Team Performance History

Year Record Final
Elo		 PPG PAPG Margin Elo
SOS		 AOS ADS DOM Perf RQ WQ LQ All-Time
Rating (%ile)
2025 4-6 1005 24.2 32.3 −8.1 1259 −9.1 +9.6 −18.7 1033 −4.86 +0.10 −4.95 416(19th)
2024 9-3 1662 44.2 32.9 +11.3 1285 +11.9 +8.7 +3.2 1581 −0.75 +0.79 −1.54 553(63rd)
2023 6-4 1320 37.3 30.4 +6.9 1244 +4.0 +7.3 −3.2 1419 −2.30 +0.43 −2.73 501(44th)
2022 4-6 1205 26.8 32.7 −5.9 1369 −4.2 +7.8 −12.0 1199 −3.64 +0.10 −3.75 453(29th)
2021 3-7 1234 25.7 33.7 −8.0 1363 −5.1 +7.9 −13.0 1174 −5.14 +0.06 −5.21 448(27th)
2020 5-6 1404 41.9 33.6 +8.3 1343 +9.5 +9.1 +0.4 1510 −3.62 +0.15 −3.78 505(46th)
2019 5-6 1349 29.0 30.2 −1.2 1487 +1.9 +3.3 −1.4 1466 −3.02 +0.31 −3.33 499(44th)
2018 7-4 1552 38.1 30.8 +7.3 1430 +7.0 +2.8 +4.2 1605 −0.98 +1.18 −2.16 547(61st)
2017 6-6 1514 30.5 26.5 +4.0 1436 −0.5 −3.1 +2.6 1565 −3.02 +0.59 −3.60 539(58th)
2016 3-7 1081 33.8 45.6 −11.8 1377 +1.3 +19.3 −18.0 1050 −4.92 +0.15 −5.07 420(20th)
2015 3-7 1174 31.2 48.0 −16.8 1407 −0.2 +19.7 −20.0 1001 −5.24 +0.22 −5.46 421(20th)
2014 4-6 1380 23.8 40.2 −16.4 1473 −6.4 +10.8 −17.2 1069 −3.60 +0.69 −4.29 450(28th)
2013 5-6 1320 28.5 27.4 +1.1 1478 −2.7 −1.8 −0.9 1478 −2.73 +0.40 −3.13 501(44th)
2012 2-8 1133 29.9 41.3 −11.4 1482 −1.7 +10.8 −12.6 1186 −5.30 +0.04 −5.34 445(26th)
2011 1-1 1504 23.0 18.5 +4.5 1175 −12.0 −1.8 −10.2 1246 −0.64 +0.27 −0.90 —
2010 0-2 1462 36.5 39.5 −3.0 1554 +11.1 +14.0 −2.9 1427 −1.67 0.00 −1.67 —
2009 2-0 1581 46.0 24.5 +21.5 1344 +20.1 +0.4 +19.7 1993 +0.15 +0.15 0.00 —
2008 1-1 1484 27.5 21.0 +6.5 1144 −1.5 −1.0 −0.5 1488 −0.93 +0.03 −0.96 —
2007 2-0 1648 32.0 12.0 +20.0 959 −4.7 −5.0 +0.3 1506 +0.05 +0.05 0.00 —
2006 2-0 1637 50.5 5.0 +45.5 906 +11.4 −6.0 +17.4 1936 +0.06 +0.06 0.00 —
2005 7-3 1613 27.7 23.1 +4.6 1266 −2.1 +1.7 −3.8 1406 −1.46 +0.46 −1.92 523(53rd)
2004 8-2 1646 28.7 18.4 +10.3 1339 +0.8 −3.0 +3.8 1596 −0.08 +1.38 −1.46 555(63rd)
Tradition Never Graduates 2026 | @TexasTNG | texastng.com
Margin — Average scoring margin (PPG minus PAPG).
Elo SOS — Average Elo of opponents faced that season, using each opponent's final season Elo.
AOS — Adjusted Offensive Scoring — scoring output compared to the expected average team's offensive performance, adjusted for opponents' defensive strength.
ADS — Adjusted Defensive Scoring — scoring allowed compared to the expected average defensive team's performance, adjusted for opponents' offensive strength; lower (more negative) is better.
DOM — Dominance — AOS minus ADS, combined scoring-margin efficiency.
Perf — Performance Elo — that season's DOM translated onto the Elo scale, an independent check on Elo itself.
RQ — Resume Quality — net wins above a second-round-quality opponent (WQ + LQ) for the season. Typically runs about −10 to +10: 0 is a break-even resume against that bar, the median qualifying season sits around −1, and +5 or better is an elite, deep-playoff-caliber resume.
WQ — Win Quality — resume credit earned from wins only, weighted by opponent strength. Each win's credit is benchmarked against a hypothetical ~1850 Elo opponent (roughly a second-round-playoff-quality team) — beating a team stronger than that earns close to full credit, beating a much weaker team earns very little.
LQ — Loss Quality — resume cost from losses only, weighted by opponent strength.
All-Time Rating — 0–990 composite score ranked against every qualifying 6A team-season since 2004; parenthetical is the all-time percentile.