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CLASS 6A · District 23-6A

Cy Ranch Mustangs

Enrollment: 3,438 · Dist. Enr. Rk · 2
Rank
#25
was #36
Record
5-1
2-1 district
Elo
2165
#25 of 249
OVR Grade
86.6
#25 of 249 in 6A
OFF Grade
85.7
#31 of 249 in 6A
DEF Grade
93.5
#8 of 249 in 6A
Perf
2424
#15 of 249 in 6A

Schedule & Results

Wk Opponent (Rec) Elo Proj WP% Result Perf AOS ADS WQ LQ
1 77% (+11) W 24-7 2416 +8.3 −28.3 +0.40 —
2
#6Sheldon CE King (6-1) 2580
14% (-17) W 31-28 2864 +24.0 −30.5 +0.94 —
3
Aldine Nimitz (3-3) 1518
96% (+30) W 52-7 2501 +23.6 −16.4 +0.15 —
5
#24Bridgeland (5-1) 2199
66% (+6) L 14-31 1849 +0.3 −13.7 — −0.31
6 94% (+27) W 56-10 2474 +25.4 −13.6 +0.12 —
7
#47Fulshear (5-1) 1966
49% (0) W 24-7 2440 +9.9 −27.7 +0.72 —
8
@Cy Park (1-5) 782
> 98% (+55) — — — — — —
9
#50Waller (5-1) 1950
71% (+9) — — — — — —
10
@Richmond Foster (2-4) 1233
> 98% (+37) — — — — — —
11
Cy Springs (2-4) 1559
93% (+24) — — — — — —
Tradition Never Graduates 2026 | @TexasTNG | texastng.com

District Standings Projection - District 23-6A

Rk Team (Enroll Rk) OVR/Elo Overall District PPG PAPG ProjRec PO% Bracket
1 24
Bears
87.2
2199
5-1 3-0 36.3 22.7 6.4-0.6 > 98% D1
2 25
Mustangs
86.6
2165
5-1 2-1 33.5 15.0 5.6-1.4 > 98% D1
3 47
Chargers
83.6
1966
5-1 2-1 34.7 12.3 5-2 96.2% D2
4 50
Bulldogs
83.4
1950
5-1 2-1 47.8 21.5 4.4-2.6 95.8% D2
5 107
Panthers
77.5
1559
2-4 1-2 35.2 34.8 2.7-4.3 5.2% —
6 153
Longhorns
74.4
1355
3-3 1-2 22.3 31.3 2.4-4.6 3.5% —
7 171
Falcons
72.6
1233
2-4 1-2 15.7 29.5 1.3-5.7 < 2% —
8 226
Tigers
65.8
782
1-5 0-3 13.7 35.0 0.1-6.9 < 2% —
Tradition Never Graduates 2026 | @TexasTNG | texastng.com
ProjRec, PO%, and Bracket represent the result of 10,000 Monte Carlo season simulations from this point forward based on each team's current Elo

Since 2004

Historical Performance

Shaded band is the 6A league mean Elo ± 1 standard deviation for that season; the dashed gray line is the league mean. The four colored dashed lines mark the Elo needed that season to rank Top 10 / 25 / 50 / 100 among all qualifying 6A team-seasons (min. 8 games) — a rough gauge of how Cy Ranch’s season stacked up against the state’s best year over year.

Best TNG Rated Seasons

#1 · 2018
11-1
Rating 691 (93rd)
#2 · 2014
13-3
Rating 689 (93rd)
#3 · 2016
11-1
Rating 671 (90th)
#4 · 2015
10-2
Rating 670 (90th)
#5 · 2025
10-3
Rating 665 (90th)

Team Performance History

Year Record Final
Elo
PPG PAPG Margin Elo
SOS
AOS ADS DOM Perf RQ WQ LQ All-Time
Rating (%ile)
2025 10-3 2099 35.6 20.1 +15.5 1617 +10.0 −13.1 +23.1 2077 +1.44 +3.05 −1.62 665(90th)
2024 8-4 1876 27.2 22.4 +4.8 1526 +0.8 −7.4 +8.2 1705 +0.13 +1.90 −1.77 595(76th)
2023 6-5 1600 34.5 28.4 +6.1 1468 +5.6 +1.4 +4.2 1605 −1.58 +0.61 −2.19 550(62nd)
2022 7-4 1728 39.1 20.5 +18.5 1504 +11.2 −8.0 +19.1 1978 −0.57 +1.24 −1.80 604(79th)
2021 6-4 1806 40.4 29.0 +11.4 1544 +12.7 −1.6 +14.3 1858 −0.61 +1.48 −2.08 591(75th)
2020 7-3 1856 34.4 14.4 +20.0 1533 +4.2 −16.4 +20.6 2014 +0.22 +1.14 −0.92 623(83rd)
2019 8-4 1888 34.8 22.0 +12.8 1580 +7.8 −7.6 +15.4 1886 −0.13 +1.41 −1.54 612(81st)
2018 11-1 2249 36.7 15.2 +21.4 1610 +11.3 −14.7 +26.0 2151 +3.79 +3.89 −0.10 691(93rd)
2017 8-3 1996 21.3 17.1 +4.2 1640 −2.6 −14.2 +11.6 1790 +0.29 +1.14 −0.85 617(82nd)
2016 11-1 2260 43.2 23.2 +20.0 1619 +14.0 −11.2 +25.2 2130 +2.68 +2.73 −0.05 671(90th)
2015 10-2 2239 39.2 22.9 +16.2 1644 +11.7 −11.0 +22.8 2069 +1.86 +2.32 −0.46 670(90th)
2014 13-3 2309 34.8 23.6 +11.1 1728 +10.4 −9.5 +19.9 1998 +4.14 +5.08 −0.93 689(93rd)
2013 5-5 1608 31.1 30.9 +0.2 1568 +6.6 +3.5 +3.1 1578 −2.16 +0.84 −2.99 540(59th)
2012 9-5 1942 36.8 35.1 +1.6 1667 +10.5 +1.9 +8.5 1713 +1.04 +3.44 −2.40 605(79th)
2011 6-4 1507 30.4 29.9 +0.5 1514 +2.0 −0.3 +2.4 1559 −0.98 +0.93 −1.91 531(56th)
2010 4-6 1144 23.4 31.6 −8.2 1454 −5.5 +4.1 −9.6 1261 −3.91 +0.52 −4.43 458(30th)
Tradition Never Graduates 2026 | @TexasTNG | texastng.com
Margin — Average scoring margin (PPG minus PAPG).
Elo SOS — Average Elo of opponents faced that season, using each opponent's final season Elo.
AOS — Adjusted Offensive Scoring — scoring output compared to the expected average team's offensive performance, adjusted for opponents' defensive strength.
ADS — Adjusted Defensive Scoring — scoring allowed compared to the expected average defensive team's performance, adjusted for opponents' offensive strength; lower (more negative) is better.
DOM — Dominance — AOS minus ADS, combined scoring-margin efficiency.
Perf — Performance Elo — that season's DOM translated onto the Elo scale, an independent check on Elo itself.
RQ — Resume Quality — net wins above a second-round-quality opponent (WQ + LQ) for the season. Typically runs about −10 to +10: 0 is a break-even resume against that bar, the median qualifying season sits around −1, and +5 or better is an elite, deep-playoff-caliber resume.
WQ — Win Quality — resume credit earned from wins only, weighted by opponent strength. Each win's credit is benchmarked against a hypothetical ~1850 Elo opponent (roughly a second-round-playoff-quality team) — beating a team stronger than that earns close to full credit, beating a much weaker team earns very little.
LQ — Loss Quality — resume cost from losses only, weighted by opponent strength.
All-Time Rating — 0–990 composite score ranked against every qualifying 6A team-season since 2004; parenthetical is the all-time percentile.