| Wk | Opponent (Rec) Elo | Proj WP% | Result | Perf | AOS | ADS | WQ | LQ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | @San Antonio Reagan (3-2-1) 1744 |
92% (+24) | W 52-21 | 2331 | +29.3 | −3.9 | +0.33 | — |
| 2 | 47% (-1) | L 23-38 | 1939 | +14.0 | −3.6 | — | −0.12 | |
| 3 | #33Lake Travis (2-2-1) 2062 |
39% (-4) | T 28-28 | 2113 | +8.1 | −16.4 | — | — |
| 4 | Converse Wagner (1-4) 1053 |
> 98% (+44) | W 56-19 | 2015 | +19.6 | −1.0 | +0.04 | — |
| 5 | @San Antonio Pieper (3-3) 1642 |
91% (+22) | W 64-28 | 2594 | +31.7 | −12.1 | +0.29 | — |
| 7 | San Marcos (0-6) 1254 |
> 98% (+38) | W 56-7 | 2275 | +19.2 | −11.8 | +0.08 | — |
| 8 | Converse Judson (2-3) 1513 |
95% (+28) | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 9 | @San Antonio East Central (5-1) 1731 |
89% (+20) | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 10 | New Braunfels Canyon (3-3) 1358 |
97% (+35) | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 11 | @Schertz Clemens (4-2) 1479 |
96% (+30) | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tradition Never Graduates 2026 | @TexasTNG | texastng.com | ||||||||
Rank
#20
was #19
Record
4-1-1
3-0 district
Elo
2221
#20 of 249
OVR Grade
87.5
#20 of 249 in 6A
OFF Grade
89.3
#16 of 249 in 6A
DEF Grade
81.9
#60 of 249 in 6A
Perf
2211
#30 of 249 in 6A
Schedule & Results
District Standings Projection - District 27-6A
| Rk | Team (Enroll Rk) | OVR/ |
Overall | District | PPG | PAPG | ProjRec | PO% | Bracket | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tradition Never Graduates 2026 | @TexasTNG | texastng.com | |||||||||||
| ProjRec, PO%, and Bracket represent the result of 10,000 Monte Carlo season simulations from this point forward based on each team's current Elo | |||||||||||
Since 2004
Historical Performance
Shaded band is the 6A league mean Elo ± 1 standard deviation for that season; the dashed gray line is the league mean. The four colored dashed lines mark the Elo needed that season to rank Top 10 / 25 / 50 / 100 among all qualifying 6A team-seasons (min. 8 games) — a rough gauge of how Cibolo Steele’s season stacked up against the state’s best year over year.
Best TNG Rated Seasons
#1 · 2016
14-2
Rating 796 (99th)
#2 · 2015
14-1
Rating 778 (98th)
#3 · 2014
13-2
Rating 773 (98th)
#4 · 2011
15-1
Rating 748 (97th)
#5 · 2012
14-1
Rating 748 (97th)
Team Performance History
| Year | Record | Final Elo |
PPG | PAPG | Margin | Elo SOS |
AOS | ADS | DOM | Perf | RQ | WQ | LQ | All-Time Rating (%ile) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tradition Never Graduates 2026 | @TexasTNG | texastng.com | ||||||||||||||
Margin — Average scoring margin (PPG minus PAPG).
Elo SOS — Average Elo of opponents faced that season, using each opponent's final season Elo.
AOS — Adjusted Offensive Scoring — scoring output compared to the expected average team's offensive performance, adjusted for opponents' defensive strength.
ADS — Adjusted Defensive Scoring — scoring allowed compared to the expected average defensive team's performance, adjusted for opponents' offensive strength; lower (more negative) is better.
DOM — Dominance — AOS minus ADS, combined scoring-margin efficiency.
Perf — Performance Elo — that season's DOM translated onto the Elo scale, an independent check on Elo itself.
RQ — Resume Quality — net wins above a second-round-quality opponent (WQ + LQ) for the season. Typically runs about −10 to +10: 0 is a break-even resume against that bar, the median qualifying season sits around −1, and +5 or better is an elite, deep-playoff-caliber resume.
WQ — Win Quality — resume credit earned from wins only, weighted by opponent strength. Each win's credit is benchmarked against a hypothetical ~1850 Elo opponent (roughly a second-round-playoff-quality team) — beating a team stronger than that earns close to full credit, beating a much weaker team earns very little.
LQ — Loss Quality — resume cost from losses only, weighted by opponent strength.
All-Time Rating — 0–990 composite score ranked against every qualifying 6A team-season since 2004; parenthetical is the all-time percentile.