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CLASS 6A · District 27-6A

San Marcos Rattlers

Enrollment: 2,333 · Dist. Enr. Rk · 6
Rank
#169
was #165
Record
0-6
0-3 district
Elo
1254
#169 of 249
OVR Grade
72.9
#169 of 249 in 6A
OFF Grade
68
#195 of 249 in 6A
DEF Grade
67.2
#192 of 249 in 6A
Perf
1023
#196 of 249 in 6A

Schedule & Results

Wk Opponent (Rec) Elo Proj WP% Result Perf AOS ADS WQ LQ
1
Buda Hays Consolidated (4-3) 1432
 49% (0) L 27-29 1489 −1.8 −1.3 — −0.75
2
@Liberty Hill
 44% (-2) L 29-63 746 +2.9 +33.1 — −0.74
3
San Antonio Madison (4-2) 1423
 50% (+0) L 16-24 1226 −7.3 +3.7 — −0.85
4
San Antonio Pieper (3-3) 1642
 30% (-8) L 0-52 394 −32.3 +11.9 — −0.77
5
@New Braunfels Canyon (3-3) 1358
 37% (-5) L 14-16 1263 −9.3 +0.1 — −0.86
7
@#20Cibolo Steele (4-1-1) 2221
 < 2% (-38) L 7-56 1022 −11.7 +7.5 — −0.18
8
Schertz Clemens (4-2) 1479
 28% (-9) — — — — — —
9
@Converse Judson (2-3) 1513
 25% (-10) — — — — — —
10
Converse Wagner (1-4) 1053
 70% (+8) — — — — — —
11
@San Antonio East Central (5-1) 1731
 12% (-19) — — — — — —
Tradition Never Graduates 2026 | @TexasTNG | texastng.com

District Standings Projection - District 27-6A

Rk Team (Enroll Rk) OVR/Elo Overall District PPG PAPG ProjRec PO% Bracket
1 20
Knights
87.5
2221
 4-1 3-0 46.5 23.5 6.8-0.2 > 98% D1
2 76
Hornets
80.1
1731
 5-1 3-0 32.8 16.5 5.3-1.7 > 98% D1
3 94
Warriors
78.7
1642
 3-3 2-1 40.3 36.2 4.8-2.2 92.5% D2
4 120
Rockets
76.8
1513
 2-3 2-1 43.4 47.2 3.8-3.2 77.8% D2
5 125
Buffaloes
76.3
1479
 4-2 1-2 32.0 30.3 3-4 17.3% —
6 152
Cougars
74.5
1358
 3-3 1-2 14.3 20.7 2.4-4.6 10.2% —
7 169
Rattlers
72.9
1254
 0-6 0-3 15.5 40.0 1.4-5.7 2.6% —
8 202
Thunderbirds
69.9
1053
 1-4 0-3 21.6 34.8 0.7-6.3 < 2% —
Tradition Never Graduates 2026 | @TexasTNG | texastng.com
ProjRec, PO%, and Bracket represent the result of 10,000 Monte Carlo season simulations from this point forward based on each team's current Elo

Since 2004

Historical Performance

Shaded band is the 6A league mean Elo ± 1 standard deviation for that season; the dashed gray line is the league mean. The four colored dashed lines mark the Elo needed that season to rank Top 10 / 25 / 50 / 100 among all qualifying 6A team-seasons (min. 8 games) — a rough gauge of how San Marcos’s season stacked up against the state’s best year over year.

Best TNG Rated Seasons

#1 · 2025
8-5
Rating 602 (78th)
#2 · 2006
8-6
Rating 582 (73rd)
#3 · 2017
10-2
Rating 581 (72nd)
#4 · 2005
8-3
Rating 571 (69th)
#5 · 2004
7-4
Rating 539 (58th)

Team Performance History

Year Record Final
Elo		 PPG PAPG Margin Elo
SOS		 AOS ADS DOM Perf RQ WQ LQ All-Time
Rating (%ile)
2025 8-5 1725 27.5 17.8 +9.6 1622 +2.8 −10.8 +13.6 1841 −0.73 +1.12 −1.85 602(78th)
2024 0-10 827 7.5 52.3 −44.8 1657 −19.1 +18.2 −37.3 568 −6.72 0.00 −6.72 339(6th)
2023 0-10 819 23.4 47.9 −24.5 1456 −6.6 +18.5 −25.0 874 −7.74 0.00 −7.74 382(12th)
2022 4-7 1360 28.2 35.8 −7.6 1555 +1.5 +6.0 −4.5 1387 −3.75 +0.33 −4.08 492(41st)
2021 5-6 1540 28.2 37.9 −9.7 1830 +3.7 +1.2 +2.5 1563 −1.77 +0.72 −2.49 539(58th)
2020 2-7 1170 16.8 35.7 −18.9 1754 −7.4 −0.1 −7.3 1318 −3.72 +0.12 −3.83 460(31st)
2019 1-9 1184 17.0 44.8 −27.8 1851 −5.4 +8.3 −13.7 1157 −4.17 +0.05 −4.22 455(29th)
2018 1-9 1212 21.3 44.9 −23.6 1854 0.0 +10.3 −10.3 1242 −4.44 +0.33 −4.77 471(33rd)
2017 10-2 1802 39.2 24.1 +15.2 1344 +7.8 −2.9 +10.7 1768 +0.85 +1.42 −0.57 581(72nd)
2016 6-5 1349 30.1 33.0 −2.9 1300 −2.5 +8.6 −11.0 1224 −3.55 +0.30 −3.85 468(32nd)
2015 1-0 1452 45.0 44.0 +1.0 1327 +10.5 +15.4 −4.9 1377 +0.16 +0.16 0.00 —
2014 1-0 1423 59.0 56.0 +3.0 1445 +27.0 +27.9 −0.8 1479 +0.10 +0.10 0.00 —
2013 4-6 1374 22.7 34.2 −11.5 1678 −2.4 +1.9 −4.3 1391 −2.09 +0.49 −2.58 493(42nd)
2012 1-9 968 15.1 37.0 −21.9 1700 −8.7 +6.0 −14.7 1132 −5.00 +0.07 −5.07 423(20th)
2011 1-8 903 17.1 41.0 −23.9 1608 −6.5 +13.6 −20.2 996 −4.64 +0.08 −4.72 401(15th)
2010 0-9 1004 12.0 44.8 −32.8 1693 −11.0 +15.2 −26.2 845 −6.25 0.00 −6.25 390(13th)
2008 1-0 1467 27.0 26.0 +1.0 1023 −5.6 +2.5 −8.1 1296 +0.06 +0.06 0.00 —
2007 5-6 1454 25.2 24.8 +0.4 1564 −0.8 −3.5 +2.7 1567 −3.25 +0.43 −3.68 530(55th)
2006 8-6 1685 26.3 22.0 +4.3 1583 +1.5 −5.9 +7.4 1685 −1.85 +2.07 −3.91 582(73rd)
2005 8-3 1608 33.0 16.8 +16.2 1376 +4.1 −4.9 +9.0 1726 −0.98 +0.52 −1.51 571(69th)
2004 7-4 1515 33.5 21.3 +12.3 1274 +4.3 +1.4 +2.9 1573 −2.18 +0.35 −2.53 539(58th)
Tradition Never Graduates 2026 | @TexasTNG | texastng.com
Margin — Average scoring margin (PPG minus PAPG).
Elo SOS — Average Elo of opponents faced that season, using each opponent's final season Elo.
AOS — Adjusted Offensive Scoring — scoring output compared to the expected average team's offensive performance, adjusted for opponents' defensive strength.
ADS — Adjusted Defensive Scoring — scoring allowed compared to the expected average defensive team's performance, adjusted for opponents' offensive strength; lower (more negative) is better.
DOM — Dominance — AOS minus ADS, combined scoring-margin efficiency.
Perf — Performance Elo — that season's DOM translated onto the Elo scale, an independent check on Elo itself.
RQ — Resume Quality — net wins above a second-round-quality opponent (WQ + LQ) for the season. Typically runs about −10 to +10: 0 is a break-even resume against that bar, the median qualifying season sits around −1, and +5 or better is an elite, deep-playoff-caliber resume.
WQ — Win Quality — resume credit earned from wins only, weighted by opponent strength. Each win's credit is benchmarked against a hypothetical ~1850 Elo opponent (roughly a second-round-playoff-quality team) — beating a team stronger than that earns close to full credit, beating a much weaker team earns very little.
LQ — Loss Quality — resume cost from losses only, weighted by opponent strength.
All-Time Rating — 0–990 composite score ranked against every qualifying 6A team-season since 2004; parenthetical is the all-time percentile.