| Wk | Opponent (Rec) Elo | Proj WP% | Result | Perf | AOS | ADS | WQ | LQ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Katy Freeman |
76% (+11) | W 19-14 | 1299 | −15.5 | −7.5 | +0.06 | — |
| 2 | Aldine Davis (5-1) 1655 |
61% (+4) | L 29-42 | 1256 | +3.4 | +13.1 | — | −0.87 |
| 3 | @Spring (2-4) 1061 |
79% (+13) | W 44-24 | 1606 | +9.0 | +4.7 | +0.04 | — |
| 4 | @Langham Creek (5-1) 1754 |
28% (-9) | L 14-36 | 1241 | −3.9 | +6.5 | — | −0.69 |
| 6 | Cy Ridge (3-3) 644 |
92% (+24) | W 54-17 | 1460 | +4.0 | +5.6 | +0.01 | — |
| 7 | 5% (-29) | W 21-18 | 1996 | +3.0 | −16.8 | +0.74 | — | |
| 8 | Cy-Fair (4-2) 1782 |
25% (-10) | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 9 | @Cy Creek (0-6) 788 |
96% (+29) | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 10 | @Cy Woods (4-1) 1704 |
32% (-7) | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 11 | Jersey Village (1-5) 923 |
93% (+24) | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tradition Never Graduates 2026 | @TexasTNG | texastng.com | ||||||||
Rank
#117
was #149
Record
4-2
2-1 district
Elo
1523
#117 of 249
OVR Grade
77
#117 of 249 in 6A
OFF Grade
75
#123 of 249 in 6A
DEF Grade
74.2
#131 of 249 in 6A
Perf
1476
#130 of 249 in 6A
Schedule & Results
District Standings Projection - District 16-6A
| Rk | Team (Enroll Rk) | OVR/ |
Overall | District | PPG | PAPG | ProjRec | PO% | Bracket | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tradition Never Graduates 2026 | @TexasTNG | texastng.com | |||||||||||
| ProjRec, PO%, and Bracket represent the result of 10,000 Monte Carlo season simulations from this point forward based on each team's current Elo | |||||||||||
Since 2004
Historical Performance


Shaded band is the 6A league mean Elo ± 1 standard deviation for that season; the dashed gray line is the league mean. The four colored dashed lines mark the Elo needed that season to rank Top 10 / 25 / 50 / 100 among all qualifying 6A team-seasons (min. 8 games) — a rough gauge of how Cy Lakes’s season stacked up against the state’s best year over year.
Best TNG Rated Seasons
#1 · 2025
6-6
Rating 604 (79th)
#2 · 2019
5-5
Rating 545 (60th)
#3 · 2018
5-5
Rating 510 (48th)
#4 · 2024
4-6
Rating 496 (42nd)
#5 · 2011
1-9
Rating 446 (27th)
Team Performance History
| Year | Record | Final Elo |
PPG | PAPG | Margin | Elo SOS |
AOS | ADS | DOM | Perf | RQ | WQ | LQ | All-Time Rating (%ile) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tradition Never Graduates 2026 | @TexasTNG | texastng.com | ||||||||||||||
Margin — Average scoring margin (PPG minus PAPG).
Elo SOS — Average Elo of opponents faced that season, using each opponent's final season Elo.
AOS — Adjusted Offensive Scoring — scoring output compared to the expected average team's offensive performance, adjusted for opponents' defensive strength.
ADS — Adjusted Defensive Scoring — scoring allowed compared to the expected average defensive team's performance, adjusted for opponents' offensive strength; lower (more negative) is better.
DOM — Dominance — AOS minus ADS, combined scoring-margin efficiency.
Perf — Performance Elo — that season's DOM translated onto the Elo scale, an independent check on Elo itself.
RQ — Resume Quality — net wins above a second-round-quality opponent (WQ + LQ) for the season. Typically runs about −10 to +10: 0 is a break-even resume against that bar, the median qualifying season sits around −1, and +5 or better is an elite, deep-playoff-caliber resume.
WQ — Win Quality — resume credit earned from wins only, weighted by opponent strength. Each win's credit is benchmarked against a hypothetical ~1850 Elo opponent (roughly a second-round-playoff-quality team) — beating a team stronger than that earns close to full credit, beating a much weaker team earns very little.
LQ — Loss Quality — resume cost from losses only, weighted by opponent strength.
All-Time Rating — 0–990 composite score ranked against every qualifying 6A team-season since 2004; parenthetical is the all-time percentile.






