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CLASS 6A · District 16-6A

Cy-Fair Bobcats

Enrollment: 3,168 · Dist. Enr. Rk · 3

Rank

#70

was #66

Record

4-2

1-2 district

Elo

1782

#70 of 249

OVR Grade

80.9

#70 of 249 in 6A

OFF Grade

83.7

#46 of 249 in 6A

DEF Grade

77.7

#98 of 249 in 6A

Perf

1888

#62 of 249 in 6A

Schedule & Results

Wk	Opponent (Rec) Elo	Proj WP%	Result	Perf	AOS	ADS	WQ	LQ
1	Tomball Memorial (1-5) 1362	70% (+8)	W 36-0	2049	−0.3	−22.3	+0.19	—
2	@#36The Woodlands College Park (3-3) 2049	11% (-20)	W 53-45	2205	+31.0	+2.8	+0.85	—
3	Cy Springs (2-4) 1559	78% (+12)	W 45-24	2253	+16.0	−14.2	+0.30	—
5	@#46Cy Falls (5-1) 1967	43% (-3)	L 38-41	1846	+20.0	+6.2	—	−0.29
6	Cy Woods (4-1) 1704	83% (+15)	L 24-35	1352	−0.2	+5.7	—	−0.76
7	Cy Creek (0-6) 788	> 98% (+40)	W 49-14	1621	+7.8	+3.0	+0.01	—
8	@Cy Lakes (4-2) 1523	75% (+10)	—	—	—	—	—	—
9	Jersey Village (1-5) 923	97% (+34)	—	—	—	—	—	—
10	@Langham Creek (5-1) 1754	53% (+1)	—	—	—	—	—	—
11	Cy Ridge (3-3) 644	> 98% (+46)	—	—	—	—	—	—
Tradition Never Graduates 2026 | @TexasTNG | texastng.com

District Standings Projection - District 16-6A

Rk			Team (Enroll Rk)	OVR/Elo	Overall	District	PPG	PAPG	ProjRec	PO%	Bracket
1		72	Langham Creek (6) Lobos	80.4 1754	5-1	3-0	29.2	16.2	5.7-1.3	> 98%	D2
2		46	Cy Falls (7) Golden Eagles	83.7 1967	5-1	2-1	36.3	15.7	5.4-1.6	97.2%	D2
3		85	Cy Woods (1) Wildcats	79.7 1704	4-1	2-1	32.8	20.0	4.9-2.1	90.3%	D1
4		70	Cy-Fair (3) Bobcats	80.9 1782	4-2	1-2	40.8	26.5	4.2-2.8	64.4%	D1
5		117	Cy Lakes (4) Spartans	77 1523	4-2	2-1	30.2	25.2	4.4-2.5	48%	—
6		212	Jersey Village (2) Falcons	67.9 923	1-5	1-2	16.0	23.3	1.8-5.2	< 2%	—
7		236	Cy Ridge (8) Rams	63.7 644	3-3	1-2	22.7	40.0	1-6	< 2%	—
8		225	Cy Creek (5) Cougars	65.9 788	0-6	0-3	15.0	36.3	0.4-6.6	< 2%	—
Tradition Never Graduates 2026 | @TexasTNG | texastng.com
ProjRec, PO%, and Bracket represent the result of 10,000 Monte Carlo season simulations from this point forward based on each team's current Elo

Since 2004

Historical Performance

Shaded band is the 6A league mean Elo ± 1 standard deviation for that season; the dashed gray line is the league mean. The four colored dashed lines mark the Elo needed that season to rank Top 10 / 25 / 50 / 100 among all qualifying 6A team-seasons (min. 8 games) — a rough gauge of how Cy-Fair’s season stacked up against the state’s best year over year.

Best TNG Rated Seasons

#1 · 2017

15-0

Rating 827 (99th)

#2 · 2019

11-1

Rating 739 (97th)

#3 · 2018

11-3

Rating 730 (96th)

#4 · 2006

12-2

Rating 707 (94th)

#5 · 2011

12-1

Rating 689 (93rd)

Team Performance History

Year	Record	Final Elo	PPG	PAPG	Margin	Elo SOS	AOS	ADS	DOM	Perf	RQ	WQ	LQ	All-Time Rating (%ile)
2025	7-4	1536	38.5	28.3	+10.2	1322	+4.1	+1.9	+2.2	1554	−1.21	+0.92	−2.13	534(57th)
2024	7-4	1721	34.2	19.3	+14.9	1362	+2.7	−5.7	+8.4	1709	−1.14	+0.76	−1.90	572(69th)
2023	11-2	2251	41.1	19.6	+21.5	1307	+7.9	−5.0	+12.9	1823	+0.94	+1.67	−0.73	649(87th)
2022	10-2	2127	43.7	16.1	+27.6	1306	+9.7	−8.3	+18.0	1949	+1.81	+2.69	−0.88	654(88th)
2021	7-4	1812	37.5	21.9	+15.6	1456	+7.5	−6.0	+13.5	1837	−0.83	+1.41	−2.24	590(75th)
2020	10-2	2151	42.2	14.4	+27.8	1412	+12.3	−12.0	+24.3	2107	+1.03	+1.40	−0.37	663(89th)
2019	11-1	2398	40.9	8.0	+32.9	1474	+14.2	−18.0	+32.2	2305	+2.60	+2.64	−0.04	739(97th)
2018	11-3	2431	37.5	12.9	+24.6	1640	+12.3	−16.9	+29.1	2228	+2.50	+3.87	−1.38	730(96th)
2017	15-0	2637	34.0	12.7	+21.3	1706	+11.1	−19.8	+30.9	2273	+6.41	+6.41	0.00	827(99th)
2016	8-3	2004	35.0	16.9	+18.1	1695	+6.2	−19.6	+25.9	2147	+1.16	+1.71	−0.56	655(88th)
2015	6-5	1601	22.0	21.8	+0.2	1627	−6.3	−12.6	+6.3	1658	−1.27	+1.15	−2.42	548(61st)
2014	9-4	1979	29.9	14.8	+15.1	1655	+5.4	−17.6	+23.0	2076	+0.62	+2.52	−1.90	659(89th)
2013	12-2	2019	25.6	12.6	+13.1	1582	+1.4	−15.4	+16.8	1921	+2.41	+3.42	−1.01	653(88th)
2012	7-4	1705	31.5	21.1	+10.4	1487	+0.9	−8.9	+9.8	1745	−1.08	+1.53	−2.61	571(69th)
2011	12-1	2138	32.6	10.7	+21.9	1557	+4.2	−19.5	+23.7	2092	+3.74	+3.94	−0.21	689(93rd)
2010	9-3	1695	25.1	19.9	+5.2	1546	−2.8	−10.2	+7.5	1687	+0.53	+1.67	−1.14	567(68th)
2009	0-10	998	13.2	33.7	−20.5	1769	−9.5	+2.0	−11.4	1214	−6.09	0.00	−6.09	443(26th)
2008	1-8	1248	15.2	27.8	−12.6	1637	−9.0	−3.3	−5.7	1357	−6.29	+0.04	−6.33	481(37th)
2007	8-5	1933	33.8	27.5	+6.2	1576	+9.8	−1.1	+10.9	1771	−0.36	+1.55	−1.91	611(80th)
2006	12-2	2107	35.4	11.1	+24.2	1578	+12.1	−16.1	+28.1	2204	+1.76	+2.46	−0.70	707(94th)
2005	10-3	1814	29.0	12.0	+17.0	1482	+5.3	−11.8	+17.1	1928	−0.16	+1.67	−1.83	631(84th)
2004	7-3	1616	29.9	14.4	+15.5	1297	+2.1	−4.9	+7.0	1675	−1.75	+0.83	−2.58	573(70th)
Tradition Never Graduates 2026 | @TexasTNG | texastng.com

Margin — Average scoring margin (PPG minus PAPG).

Elo SOS — Average Elo of opponents faced that season, using each opponent's final season Elo.

AOS — Adjusted Offensive Scoring — scoring output compared to the expected average team's offensive performance, adjusted for opponents' defensive strength.

ADS — Adjusted Defensive Scoring — scoring allowed compared to the expected average defensive team's performance, adjusted for opponents' offensive strength; lower (more negative) is better.

DOM — Dominance — AOS minus ADS, combined scoring-margin efficiency.

Perf — Performance Elo — that season's DOM translated onto the Elo scale, an independent check on Elo itself.

RQ — Resume Quality — net wins above a second-round-quality opponent (WQ + LQ) for the season. Typically runs about −10 to +10: 0 is a break-even resume against that bar, the median qualifying season sits around −1, and +5 or better is an elite, deep-playoff-caliber resume.

WQ — Win Quality — resume credit earned from wins only, weighted by opponent strength. Each win's credit is benchmarked against a hypothetical ~1850 Elo opponent (roughly a second-round-playoff-quality team) — beating a team stronger than that earns close to full credit, beating a much weaker team earns very little.

LQ — Loss Quality — resume cost from losses only, weighted by opponent strength.

All-Time Rating — 0–990 composite score ranked against every qualifying 6A team-season since 2004; parenthetical is the all-time percentile.