← Back
CLASS 6A · District 21-6A

Fort Bend Bush Broncos

Enrollment: 2,388 · Dist. Enr. Rk · 7
Rank
#174
was #170
Record
1-6
1-3 district
Elo
1215
#174 of 249
OVR Grade
72.3
#174 of 249 in 6A
OFF Grade
67.9
#197 of 249 in 6A
DEF Grade
70.6
#171 of 249 in 6A
Perf
1118
#181 of 249 in 6A

Schedule & Results

Wk Opponent (Rec) Elo Proj WP% Result Perf AOS ADS WQ LQ
1
Angleton
 10% (-21) L 0-24 1369 −18.6 −13.4 — −0.40
2
#47Fulshear (5-1) 1966
 9% (-22) L 0-56 615 −14.1 +21.3 — −0.39
3
@Aldine Davis (5-1) 1655
 37% (-5) L 27-41 1231 +1.4 +12.1 — −0.80
4
Fort Bend Austin (1-6) 869
 86% (+17) W 34-27 1375 +2.6 +7.6 +0.02 —
5
@Fort Bend Elkins (2-5) 1464
 46% (-2) L 6-24 984 −22.1 −1.5 — −0.87
6
Fort Bend Hightower (5-2) 1828
 9% (-22) L 6-41 1116 −9.7 +5.7 — −0.55
7
Fort Bend Travis (6-1) 1770
 10% (-21) L 14-35 1134 −9.9 +4.7 — −0.60
9
@#10Fort Bend Ridge Point (7-0) 2445
 < 2% (-49) — — — — — —
10
Strake Jesuit (2-5) 1493
 24% (-11) — — — — — —
11
@Fort Bend Clements (3-4) 1095
 62% (+5) — — — — — —
Tradition Never Graduates 2026 | @TexasTNG | texastng.com

District Standings Projection - District 21-6A

Rk Team (Enroll Rk) OVR/Elo Overall District PPG PAPG ProjRec PO% Bracket
1 10
Panthers
90.9
2445
 7-0 4-0 41.9 12.9 6.9-0.1 > 98% D2
2 63
Hurricanes
81.6
1828
 5-2 4-0 36.3 13.4 5.6-1.4 > 98% D2
3 71
Tigers
80.7
1770
 6-1 4-0 32.7 21.0 5.3-1.7 > 98% D1
4 124
Crusaders
76.5
1493
 2-5 2-2 18.4 27.4 3.5-3.5 59.2% D1
5 127
Knights
76.1
1464
 2-5 1-3 22.0 31.0 3.2-3.8 38.9% —
6 174
Broncos
72.3
1215
 1-6 1-3 12.4 35.4 1.9-5.1 < 2% —
7 193
Rangers
70.5
1095
 3-4 0-4 26.7 33.9 1.3-5.7 < 2% —
8 217
Bulldogs
67.1
869
 1-6 0-4 19.3 30.3 0.4-6.6 < 2% —
Tradition Never Graduates 2026 | @TexasTNG | texastng.com
ProjRec, PO%, and Bracket represent the result of 10,000 Monte Carlo season simulations from this point forward based on each team's current Elo

Since 2004

Historical Performance

Shaded band is the 6A league mean Elo ± 1 standard deviation for that season; the dashed gray line is the league mean. The four colored dashed lines mark the Elo needed that season to rank Top 10 / 25 / 50 / 100 among all qualifying 6A team-seasons (min. 8 games) — a rough gauge of how Fort Bend Bush’s season stacked up against the state’s best year over year.

Best TNG Rated Seasons

#1 · 2013
9-3
Rating 617 (82nd)
#2 · 2012
10-2
Rating 611 (80th)
#3 · 2017
7-2
Rating 571 (69th)
#4 · 2011
8-4
Rating 553 (63rd)
#5 · 2016
6-5
Rating 528 (55th)

Team Performance History

Year Record Final
Elo		 PPG PAPG Margin Elo
SOS		 AOS ADS DOM Perf RQ WQ LQ All-Time
Rating (%ile)
2025 6-5 1183 32.7 37.7 −5.0 1307 −1.9 +10.4 −12.4 1191 −2.22 +0.24 −2.46 453(29th)
2024 2-8 856 11.8 38.2 −26.4 1314 −19.9 +14.3 −34.1 647 −5.65 +0.02 −5.67 352(7th)
2023 1-9 897 12.1 35.9 −23.8 1486 −16.3 +9.0 −25.4 866 −6.58 +0.02 −6.59 388(13th)
2022 2-8 1146 11.6 23.0 −11.4 1398 −17.2 −0.5 −16.7 1081 −6.17 +0.06 −6.23 433(23rd)
2021 5-6 1458 14.0 21.0 −7.0 1512 −10.8 −5.9 −4.9 1377 −2.61 +0.71 −3.33 496(43rd)
2020 1-6 1027 10.6 33.1 −22.6 1463 −15.9 +8.5 −24.3 892 −4.18 +0.03 −4.21 —
2019 5-6 1303 17.5 18.0 −0.5 1406 −10.8 −6.6 −4.2 1395 −3.09 +0.57 −3.66 488(39th)
2018 5-5 1383 24.9 24.7 +0.2 1421 −5.9 −2.6 −3.3 1419 −2.42 +0.99 −3.41 497(43rd)
2017 7-2 1634 34.8 16.2 +18.6 1330 +2.4 −7.6 +10.0 1751 −0.31 +0.74 −1.05 571(69th)
2016 6-5 1540 27.5 25.8 +1.6 1511 −1.8 −3.9 +2.0 1551 −2.20 +0.59 −2.79 528(55th)
2015 0-2 1580 10.5 33.5 −23.0 1781 −8.3 +1.5 −9.9 1253 −0.96 0.00 −0.96 —
2014 0-2 1666 5.0 28.5 −23.5 1885 −17.4 −4.9 −12.4 1189 −0.92 0.00 −0.92 —
2013 9-3 1819 42.5 24.0 +18.5 1482 +12.3 −5.0 +17.3 1932 −0.21 +1.22 −1.43 617(82nd)
2012 10-2 1839 28.0 14.7 +13.3 1468 +1.1 −10.7 +11.8 1794 +0.76 +1.80 −1.04 611(80th)
2011 8-4 1657 26.2 18.6 +7.7 1440 −0.1 −4.2 +4.1 1603 −1.36 +1.05 −2.41 553(63rd)
2010 6-4 1328 28.5 20.6 +7.9 1326 −1.0 −2.5 +1.5 1537 −2.36 +0.70 −3.06 512(49th)
2009 3-7 1043 22.0 25.0 −3.0 1341 −4.2 +4.7 −9.0 1276 −5.26 +0.12 −5.38 450(28th)
2008 3-5 1036 19.4 27.9 −8.5 1375 −8.6 +6.0 −14.6 1135 −3.49 +0.09 −3.57 432(23rd)
2007 2-8 1081 7.8 22.9 −15.1 1400 −16.2 +1.8 −18.0 1050 −5.76 +0.14 −5.90 426(21st)
2006 1-9 890 14.0 30.0 −16.0 1453 −9.7 +9.1 −18.8 1030 −7.50 +0.26 −7.76 407(16th)
2005 1-8 991 8.8 25.2 −16.4 1415 −15.1 +3.9 −19.0 1026 −6.60 +0.16 −6.77 416(19th)
2004 2-8 1024 10.0 23.4 −13.4 1315 −16.0 +4.4 −20.3 991 −6.72 +0.09 −6.81 417(19th)
Tradition Never Graduates 2026 | @TexasTNG | texastng.com
Margin — Average scoring margin (PPG minus PAPG).
Elo SOS — Average Elo of opponents faced that season, using each opponent's final season Elo.
AOS — Adjusted Offensive Scoring — scoring output compared to the expected average team's offensive performance, adjusted for opponents' defensive strength.
ADS — Adjusted Defensive Scoring — scoring allowed compared to the expected average defensive team's performance, adjusted for opponents' offensive strength; lower (more negative) is better.
DOM — Dominance — AOS minus ADS, combined scoring-margin efficiency.
Perf — Performance Elo — that season's DOM translated onto the Elo scale, an independent check on Elo itself.
RQ — Resume Quality — net wins above a second-round-quality opponent (WQ + LQ) for the season. Typically runs about −10 to +10: 0 is a break-even resume against that bar, the median qualifying season sits around −1, and +5 or better is an elite, deep-playoff-caliber resume.
WQ — Win Quality — resume credit earned from wins only, weighted by opponent strength. Each win's credit is benchmarked against a hypothetical ~1850 Elo opponent (roughly a second-round-playoff-quality team) — beating a team stronger than that earns close to full credit, beating a much weaker team earns very little.
LQ — Loss Quality — resume cost from losses only, weighted by opponent strength.
All-Time Rating — 0–990 composite score ranked against every qualifying 6A team-season since 2004; parenthetical is the all-time percentile.