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CLASS 6A · District 19-6A

Pasadena Sam Rayburn Texans

Enrollment: 2,494 · Dist. Enr. Rk · 8
Rank
#237
was #237
Record
1-6
0-5 district
Elo
637
#237 of 249
OVR Grade
63.6
#237 of 249 in 6A
OFF Grade
60.4
#237 of 249 in 6A
DEF Grade
60.6
#223 of 249 in 6A
Perf
561
#235 of 249 in 6A

Schedule & Results

Wk Opponent (Rec) Elo Proj WP% Result Perf AOS ADS WQ LQ
1
@Aldine (0-6) 143
 95% (+27) W 50-0 1329 −7.0 −0.2 +0.00 —
2
Pasadena
 89% (+20) L 6-27 174 −38.0 +15.0 — −1.00
3
@Brazoswood (3-3) 1292
 8% (-23) L 7-38 442 −28.2 +14.1 — −0.92
4
Pasadena Dobie (2-4) 1248
 6% (-26) L 7-42 327 −24.7 +22.2 — −0.90
5
@Pearland Dawson (3-4) 1551
 4% (-31) L 14-38 782 −16.8 +12.0 — −0.84
6
Pasadena Memorial (3-4) 1123
 14% (-17) L 21-58 126 −19.1 +35.8 — −0.96
7
@#28Manvel (5-1) 2101
 < 2% (-59) L 0-63 745 −11.0 +19.2 — −0.26
8
Alvin (0-6) 678
 46% (-2) — — — — — —
9
@#12Pearland (7-0) 2385
 < 2% (-70) — — — — — —
11
#23Alvin Shadow Creek (5-1) 2203
 < 2% (-63) — — — — — —
Tradition Never Graduates 2026 | @TexasTNG | texastng.com

District Standings Projection - District 19-6A

Rk Team (Enroll Rk) OVR/Elo Overall District PPG PAPG ProjRec PO% Bracket
1 12
Oilers
90
2385
 7-0 5-0 47.6 9.9 7.7-0.3 > 98% D1
2 23
Sharks
87.2
2203
 5-1 4-0 42.7 8.5 6.9-1.1 > 98% D2
3 28
Mavericks
85.7
2101
 5-1 3-1 46.5 8.0 6.2-1.8 > 98% D2
4 109
Eagles
77.4
1551
 3-4 3-2 24.6 32.4 4.7-3.3 89% D1
5 170
Longhorns
72.8
1248
 2-4 1-3 17.3 33.0 2.8-5.2 4.7% —
6 187
Mavericks
70.9
1123
 3-4 2-3 22.7 41.1 2.8-5.2 3.8% —
7 165
Buccaneers
73.5
1292
 3-3 2-2 25.5 34.3 3.6-4.3 2.8% —
8 235
Yellowjackets
64.2
678
 0-6 0-4 17.5 48.0 0.7-7.3 < 2% —
9 237
Texans
63.6
637
 1-6 0-5 15.0 38.0 0.4-7.6 < 2% —
Tradition Never Graduates 2026 | @TexasTNG | texastng.com
ProjRec, PO%, and Bracket represent the result of 10,000 Monte Carlo season simulations from this point forward based on each team's current Elo

Since 2004

Historical Performance

Shaded band is the 6A league mean Elo ± 1 standard deviation for that season; the dashed gray line is the league mean. The four colored dashed lines mark the Elo needed that season to rank Top 10 / 25 / 50 / 100 among all qualifying 6A team-seasons (min. 8 games) — a rough gauge of how Pasadena Sam Rayburn’s season stacked up against the state’s best year over year.

Best TNG Rated Seasons

#1 · 2004
6-4
Rating 442 (25th)
#2 · 2006
4-6
Rating 428 (21st)
#3 · 2010
5-5
Rating 408 (17th)
#4 · 2011
4-6
Rating 404 (16th)
#5 · 2005
3-7
Rating 394 (14th)

Team Performance History

Year Record Final
Elo		 PPG PAPG Margin Elo
SOS		 AOS ADS DOM Perf RQ WQ LQ All-Time
Rating (%ile)
2025 4-6 919 17.3 31.7 −14.4 1224 −16.7 +8.6 −25.2 869 −3.63 +0.05 −3.68 387(12th)
2024 2-8 607 11.9 40.6 −28.7 1282 −23.0 +14.8 −37.8 554 −5.93 +0.01 −5.95 317(4th)
2023 2-8 567 15.6 46.9 −31.3 1074 −23.6 +25.6 −49.2 271 −7.06 +0.01 −7.07 279(2nd)
2022 3-7 767 20.3 38.4 −18.1 1045 −17.3 +19.9 −37.2 569 −6.26 +0.02 −6.28 330(5th)
2021 4-5 716 18.6 33.8 −15.2 895 −23.1 +15.1 −38.1 547 −4.27 +0.01 −4.29 318(4th)
2020 3-7 553 14.4 26.4 −12.0 961 −25.7 +9.8 −35.5 613 −6.10 +0.01 −6.11 308(3rd)
2019 0-10 285 4.9 61.6 −56.7 1302 −27.4 +36.5 −63.8 -96 −8.41 0.00 −8.41 195(0th)
2018 0-10 343 4.8 51.9 −47.1 1309 −28.1 +26.2 −54.4 140 −7.95 0.00 −7.95 232(0th)
2017 0-8 439 11.1 42.8 −31.6 1183 −22.8 +22.5 −45.3 367 −7.20 0.00 −7.20 271(1st)
2016 2-8 641 12.0 30.0 −18.0 1063 −24.7 +10.7 −35.4 615 −7.06 +0.02 −7.08 322(4th)
2015 0-10 402 12.2 46.1 −33.9 1397 −20.0 +18.6 −38.6 536 −7.46 0.00 −7.46 289(2nd)
2014 0-10 450 13.3 49.2 −35.9 1411 −18.4 +21.2 −39.6 510 −7.24 0.00 −7.24 292(2nd)
2013 1-9 545 14.1 47.3 −33.2 1278 −17.9 +24.8 −42.8 431 −7.47 +0.01 −7.48 291(2nd)
2012 4-6 962 17.1 38.3 −21.2 1245 −16.8 +14.3 −31.1 722 −4.49 +0.10 −4.59 368(9th)
2011 4-6 994 21.1 28.1 −7.0 1127 −14.1 +7.7 −21.8 955 −5.02 +0.06 −5.08 404(16th)
2010 5-5 1027 21.6 29.2 −7.6 1149 −12.2 +9.4 −21.6 959 −4.00 +0.08 −4.08 408(17th)
2009 2-8 879 15.5 31.6 −16.1 1315 −13.5 +11.6 −25.1 872 −6.24 +0.03 −6.27 382(12th)
2008 2-7 907 9.4 26.6 −17.1 1381 −18.7 +3.9 −22.7 933 −5.13 +0.03 −5.16 394(14th)
2007 2-8 757 12.0 32.9 −20.9 1258 −18.5 +12.4 −30.9 728 −6.44 +0.02 −6.45 354(8th)
2006 4-6 1028 17.2 22.3 −5.1 1241 −14.1 +2.2 −16.3 1092 −4.38 +0.10 −4.49 428(21st)
2005 3-7 921 13.4 27.7 −14.3 1303 −17.0 +7.0 −24.0 899 −4.97 +0.07 −5.04 394(14th)
2004 6-4 1205 21.9 25.0 −3.1 1191 −11.9 +6.0 −17.9 1052 −2.38 +0.17 −2.56 442(25th)
Tradition Never Graduates 2026 | @TexasTNG | texastng.com
Margin — Average scoring margin (PPG minus PAPG).
Elo SOS — Average Elo of opponents faced that season, using each opponent's final season Elo.
AOS — Adjusted Offensive Scoring — scoring output compared to the expected average team's offensive performance, adjusted for opponents' defensive strength.
ADS — Adjusted Defensive Scoring — scoring allowed compared to the expected average defensive team's performance, adjusted for opponents' offensive strength; lower (more negative) is better.
DOM — Dominance — AOS minus ADS, combined scoring-margin efficiency.
Perf — Performance Elo — that season's DOM translated onto the Elo scale, an independent check on Elo itself.
RQ — Resume Quality — net wins above a second-round-quality opponent (WQ + LQ) for the season. Typically runs about −10 to +10: 0 is a break-even resume against that bar, the median qualifying season sits around −1, and +5 or better is an elite, deep-playoff-caliber resume.
WQ — Win Quality — resume credit earned from wins only, weighted by opponent strength. Each win's credit is benchmarked against a hypothetical ~1850 Elo opponent (roughly a second-round-playoff-quality team) — beating a team stronger than that earns close to full credit, beating a much weaker team earns very little.
LQ — Loss Quality — resume cost from losses only, weighted by opponent strength.
All-Time Rating — 0–990 composite score ranked against every qualifying 6A team-season since 2004; parenthetical is the all-time percentile.