| Wk | Opponent (Rec) Elo | Proj WP% | Result | Perf | AOS | ADS | WQ | LQ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | @Houston Lamar (4-2) 1731 |
68% (+7) | W 30-0 | 2520 | +9.7 | −31.1 | +0.45 | — |
| 2 | @Iowa Colony |
53% (+1) | W 37-7 | 2669 | +17.4 | −29.4 | +0.68 | — |
| 3 | @Pasadena Memorial (3-4) 1123 |
> 98% (+43) | W 75-0 | 2926 | +34.9 | −22.2 | +0.04 | — |
| 5 | Alvin (0-6) 678 |
> 98% (+60) | W 53-0 | 2079 | +6.3 | −16.9 | +0.01 | — |
| 6 | 36% (-6) | L 21-41 | 1857 | +9.6 | −4.7 | — | −0.13 | |
| 7 | Pasadena Sam Rayburn (1-6) 637 |
> 98% (+59) | W 63-0 | 2174 | +18.2 | −8.8 | +0.01 | — |
| 8 | 39% (-4) | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 9 | Brazoswood (3-3) 1292 |
97% (+32) | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 10 | @Pasadena Dobie (2-4) 1248 |
97% (+34) | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 11 | Pearland Dawson (3-4) 1551 |
91% (+22) | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tradition Never Graduates 2026 | @TexasTNG | texastng.com | ||||||||
Rank
#28
was #31
Record
5-1
3-1 district
Elo
2101
#28 of 249
OVR Grade
85.7
#28 of 249 in 6A
OFF Grade
86.3
#30 of 249 in 6A
DEF Grade
91
#16 of 249 in 6A
Perf
2371
#18 of 249 in 6A
Schedule & Results
District Standings Projection - District 19-6A
| Rk | Team (Enroll Rk) | OVR/ |
Overall | District | PPG | PAPG | ProjRec | PO% | Bracket | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tradition Never Graduates 2026 | @TexasTNG | texastng.com | |||||||||||
| ProjRec, PO%, and Bracket represent the result of 10,000 Monte Carlo season simulations from this point forward based on each team's current Elo | |||||||||||
Since 2004
Historical Performance
Shaded band is the 6A league mean Elo ± 1 standard deviation for that season; the dashed gray line is the league mean. The four colored dashed lines mark the Elo needed that season to rank Top 10 / 25 / 50 / 100 among all qualifying 6A team-seasons (min. 8 games) — a rough gauge of how Manvel’s season stacked up against the state’s best year over year.
Best TNG Rated Seasons
#1 · 2015
11-3
Rating 744 (97th)
#2 · 2014
13-1
Rating 716 (95th)
#3 · 2013
12-2
Rating 679 (91st)
#4 · 2025
8-4
Rating 641 (86th)
#5 · 2012
11-2
Rating 637 (85th)
Team Performance History
| Year | Record | Final Elo |
PPG | PAPG | Margin | Elo SOS |
AOS | ADS | DOM | Perf | RQ | WQ | LQ | All-Time Rating (%ile) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tradition Never Graduates 2026 | @TexasTNG | texastng.com | ||||||||||||||
Margin — Average scoring margin (PPG minus PAPG).
Elo SOS — Average Elo of opponents faced that season, using each opponent's final season Elo.
AOS — Adjusted Offensive Scoring — scoring output compared to the expected average team's offensive performance, adjusted for opponents' defensive strength.
ADS — Adjusted Defensive Scoring — scoring allowed compared to the expected average defensive team's performance, adjusted for opponents' offensive strength; lower (more negative) is better.
DOM — Dominance — AOS minus ADS, combined scoring-margin efficiency.
Perf — Performance Elo — that season's DOM translated onto the Elo scale, an independent check on Elo itself.
RQ — Resume Quality — net wins above a second-round-quality opponent (WQ + LQ) for the season. Typically runs about −10 to +10: 0 is a break-even resume against that bar, the median qualifying season sits around −1, and +5 or better is an elite, deep-playoff-caliber resume.
WQ — Win Quality — resume credit earned from wins only, weighted by opponent strength. Each win's credit is benchmarked against a hypothetical ~1850 Elo opponent (roughly a second-round-playoff-quality team) — beating a team stronger than that earns close to full credit, beating a much weaker team earns very little.
LQ — Loss Quality — resume cost from losses only, weighted by opponent strength.
All-Time Rating — 0–990 composite score ranked against every qualifying 6A team-season since 2004; parenthetical is the all-time percentile.