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CLASS 6A · District 25-6A

Round Rock Cedar Ridge Raiders

Enrollment: 2,789 · Dist. Enr. Rk · 5
Rank
#61
was #64
Record
7-0
3-0 district
Elo
1852
#61 of 249
OVR Grade
81.9
#61 of 249 in 6A
OFF Grade
83.5
#48 of 249 in 6A
DEF Grade
82.8
#54 of 249 in 6A
Perf
2030
#50 of 249 in 6A

Schedule & Results

Wk Opponent (Rec) Elo Proj WP% Result Perf AOS ADS WQ LQ
1 78% (+12) W 21-6 1610 −12.6 −17.0 +0.06 —
2
@Copperas Cove (5-2) 1566
56% (+2) W 42-35 1775 +9.6 −1.4 +0.16 —
3 51% (+1) W 70-23 2360 +25.8 −8.6 +0.23 —
4
Leander Rouse (4-3) 1600
63% (+5) W 34-16 2186 +11.5 −15.9 +0.24 —
5 93% (+25) W 43-0 2117 +7.8 −16.8 +0.05 —
6 92% (+24) W 77-29 2025 +27.1 +6.1 +0.06 —
7
@#33Lake Travis (2-2-1) 2062
22% (-12) W 35-34 2138 +15.1 −10.4 +0.74 —
9 90% (+21) — — — — — —
10
@#15Austin Westlake (5-1) 2332
12% (-19) — — — — — —
11
#42Round Rock (4-2) 2019
33% (-7) — — — — — —
Tradition Never Graduates 2026 | @TexasTNG | texastng.com

District Standings Projection - District 25-6A

Rk Team (Enroll Rk) OVR/Elo Overall District PPG PAPG ProjRec PO% Bracket
1 15
Chaparrals
89.2
2332
5-1 2-0 42.0 18.0 5.6-0.4 > 98% D2
2 61
Raiders
81.9
1852
7-0 3-0 46.0 20.4 4.3-1.6 96.3% D2
3 42
Dragons
84.4
2019
4-2 1-1 35.8 34.2 4.1-1.9 > 98% D1
4 33
Cavaliers
85.1
2062
2-2 1-1 38.8 27.6 3.7-2.3 96.6% D1
5 158
Tigers
74.1
1335
3-4 2-1 32.1 33.4 2.2-3.8 7.4% —
6 201
Warriors
69.9
1059
1-6 0-3 13.7 37.3 0.5-5.5 < 2% —
7 191
Mavericks
70.5
1099
0-7 0-3 20.4 56.6 0.6-5.4 < 2% —
Tradition Never Graduates 2026 | @TexasTNG | texastng.com
ProjRec, PO%, and Bracket represent the result of 10,000 Monte Carlo season simulations from this point forward based on each team's current Elo

Since 2004

Historical Performance

Shaded band is the 6A league mean Elo ± 1 standard deviation for that season; the dashed gray line is the league mean. The four colored dashed lines mark the Elo needed that season to rank Top 10 / 25 / 50 / 100 among all qualifying 6A team-seasons (min. 8 games) — a rough gauge of how Round Rock Cedar Ridge’s season stacked up against the state’s best year over year.

Best TNG Rated Seasons

#1 · 2016
11-1
Rating 722 (96th)
#2 · 2017
12-2
Rating 718 (95th)
#3 · 2015
10-2
Rating 681 (92nd)
#4 · 2018
9-3
Rating 654 (88th)
#5 · 2020
6-4
Rating 598 (77th)

Team Performance History

Year Record Final
Elo
PPG PAPG Margin Elo
SOS
AOS ADS DOM Perf RQ WQ LQ All-Time
Rating (%ile)
2025 5-5 1483 36.1 40.2 −4.1 1599 +7.0 +8.3 −1.4 1466 −2.02 +0.85 −2.87 517(51st)
2024 3-7 1116 23.3 35.3 −12.0 1543 −4.2 +6.1 −10.3 1243 −4.56 +0.66 −5.21 454(29th)
2023 2-8 1104 11.9 34.3 −22.4 1625 −11.2 +6.3 −17.5 1063 −5.20 +0.60 −5.80 434(23rd)
2022 5-6 1748 23.3 27.5 −4.2 1840 +3.6 −6.6 +10.2 1754 −0.78 +1.30 −2.09 587(74th)
2021 7-4 1847 26.4 19.8 +6.5 1681 +0.5 −13.3 +13.8 1844 +0.59 +1.90 −1.30 593(76th)
2020 6-4 1842 28.0 25.0 +3.0 1786 +6.0 −8.7 +14.7 1867 +0.15 +1.04 −0.90 598(77th)
2019 6-5 1765 37.4 36.5 +0.9 1665 +9.8 +2.6 +7.2 1680 −0.80 +1.76 −2.57 566(67th)
2018 9-3 2176 41.3 27.3 +14.0 1693 +16.2 −6.3 +22.5 2063 +2.03 +2.88 −0.86 654(88th)
2017 12-2 2317 42.6 18.5 +24.1 1697 +16.4 −15.2 +31.6 2291 +3.24 +3.58 −0.34 718(95th)
2016 11-1 2260 45.9 14.6 +31.3 1611 +19.7 −15.5 +35.1 2379 +3.00 +3.10 −0.10 722(96th)
2015 10-2 2122 35.6 16.2 +19.4 1663 +12.2 −14.7 +26.9 2171 +2.84 +3.28 −0.44 681(92nd)
2014 4-7 1563 19.0 22.2 −3.2 1648 −2.7 −4.9 +2.2 1555 −2.95 +0.63 −3.58 532(56th)
2013 8-4 1748 34.4 31.4 +3.0 1539 +6.0 +1.8 +4.2 1605 −0.39 +1.51 −1.90 567(68th)
2012 3-6 1070 27.6 37.6 −10.0 1512 +1.7 +11.2 −9.5 1262 −4.11 +0.63 −4.73 449(28th)
Tradition Never Graduates 2026 | @TexasTNG | texastng.com
Margin — Average scoring margin (PPG minus PAPG).
Elo SOS — Average Elo of opponents faced that season, using each opponent's final season Elo.
AOS — Adjusted Offensive Scoring — scoring output compared to the expected average team's offensive performance, adjusted for opponents' defensive strength.
ADS — Adjusted Defensive Scoring — scoring allowed compared to the expected average defensive team's performance, adjusted for opponents' offensive strength; lower (more negative) is better.
DOM — Dominance — AOS minus ADS, combined scoring-margin efficiency.
Perf — Performance Elo — that season's DOM translated onto the Elo scale, an independent check on Elo itself.
RQ — Resume Quality — net wins above a second-round-quality opponent (WQ + LQ) for the season. Typically runs about −10 to +10: 0 is a break-even resume against that bar, the median qualifying season sits around −1, and +5 or better is an elite, deep-playoff-caliber resume.
WQ — Win Quality — resume credit earned from wins only, weighted by opponent strength. Each win's credit is benchmarked against a hypothetical ~1850 Elo opponent (roughly a second-round-playoff-quality team) — beating a team stronger than that earns close to full credit, beating a much weaker team earns very little.
LQ — Loss Quality — resume cost from losses only, weighted by opponent strength.
All-Time Rating — 0–990 composite score ranked against every qualifying 6A team-season since 2004; parenthetical is the all-time percentile.