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CLASS 6A · District 25-6A

Round Rock Dragons

Enrollment: 3,899 · Dist. Enr. Rk · 1
Rank
#42
was #43
Record
4-2
1-1 district
Elo
2019
#42 of 249
OVR Grade
84.4
#42 of 249 in 6A
OFF Grade
84.6
#42 of 249 in 6A
DEF Grade
78.9
#84 of 249 in 6A
Perf
1957
#54 of 249 in 6A

Schedule & Results

Wk Opponent (Rec) Elo Proj WP% Result Perf AOS ADS WQ LQ
1
Pflugerville Weiss
 35% (-6) L 28-42 1652 +10.0 +4.0 — −0.35
2
@Temple (1-6) 1448
 62% (+5) W 49-37 1774 +15.0 +4.0 +0.32 —
3
#26Dripping Springs (5-1) 2153
 17% (-15) W 35-25 2494 +18.4 −21.3 +0.83 —
4
@#34Austin Vandegrift (4-2) 2056
 42% (-3) W 41-38 2043 +21.9 +0.2 +0.74 —
5
Round Rock Stony Point (3-4) 1335
 98% (+37) W 45-25 1850 +10.2 −3.8 +0.05 —
6
@#15Austin Westlake (5-1) 2332
 31% (-7) L 17-38 1930 +6.4 −10.8 — −0.15
8
Round Rock Westwood (1-6) 1059
 > 98% (+38) — — — — — —
9
@Round Rock McNeil (0-7) 1099
 98% (+37) — — — — — —
10
#33Lake Travis (2-2-1) 2062
 45% (-2) — — — — — —
11
@Round Rock Cedar Ridge (7-0) 1852
 67% (+7) — — — — — —
Tradition Never Graduates 2026 | @TexasTNG | texastng.com

District Standings Projection - District 25-6A

Rk Team (Enroll Rk) OVR/Elo Overall District PPG PAPG ProjRec PO% Bracket
1 15
Chaparrals
89.2
2332
 5-1 2-0 42.0 18.0 5.6-0.4 > 98% D2
2 61
Raiders
81.9
1852
 7-0 3-0 46.0 20.4 4.3-1.6 96.3% D2
3 42
Dragons
84.4
2019
 4-2 1-1 35.8 34.2 4.1-1.9 > 98% D1
4 33
Cavaliers
85.1
2062
 2-2 1-1 38.8 27.6 3.7-2.3 96.6% D1
5 158
Tigers
74.1
1335
 3-4 2-1 32.1 33.4 2.2-3.8 7.4% —
6 201
Warriors
69.9
1059
 1-6 0-3 13.7 37.3 0.5-5.5 < 2% —
7 191
Mavericks
70.5
1099
 0-7 0-3 20.4 56.6 0.6-5.4 < 2% —
Tradition Never Graduates 2026 | @TexasTNG | texastng.com
ProjRec, PO%, and Bracket represent the result of 10,000 Monte Carlo season simulations from this point forward based on each team's current Elo

Since 2004

Historical Performance

Shaded band is the 6A league mean Elo ± 1 standard deviation for that season; the dashed gray line is the league mean. The four colored dashed lines mark the Elo needed that season to rank Top 10 / 25 / 50 / 100 among all qualifying 6A team-seasons (min. 8 games) — a rough gauge of how Round Rock’s season stacked up against the state’s best year over year.

Best TNG Rated Seasons

#1 · 2021
9-2
Rating 695 (93rd)
#2 · 2014
10-2
Rating 683 (92nd)
#3 · 2016
10-4
Rating 676 (91st)
#4 · 2022
9-2
Rating 665 (90th)
#5 · 2006
9-4
Rating 661 (89th)

Team Performance History

Year Record Final
Elo		 PPG PAPG Margin Elo
SOS		 AOS ADS DOM Perf RQ WQ LQ All-Time
Rating (%ile)
2025 5-6 1688 35.4 26.5 +8.8 1653 +7.3 −6.7 +14.0 1851 −2.33 +0.66 −2.99 587(74th)
2024 8-3 1771 28.2 18.3 +9.9 1562 +0.5 −12.1 +12.6 1815 −0.14 +1.16 −1.30 591(75th)
2023 4-7 1504 20.6 23.5 −2.9 1724 −0.8 −6.9 +6.1 1653 −3.37 +0.42 −3.79 548(62nd)
2022 9-2 2023 34.8 16.8 +18.0 1718 +13.0 −15.0 +28.0 2199 +1.99 +2.42 −0.43 665(90th)
2021 9-2 2119 36.8 11.0 +25.8 1665 +11.4 −19.7 +31.1 2277 +2.06 +2.92 −0.86 695(93rd)
2020 8-3 2112 36.2 22.5 +13.6 1641 +11.9 −8.6 +20.5 2012 +1.24 +3.02 −1.79 646(87th)
2019 6-4 1647 43.2 30.3 +12.9 1526 +13.1 0.0 +13.1 1828 −0.77 +1.29 −2.06 575(70th)
2018 7-5 1743 47.8 38.4 +9.3 1609 +19.9 +6.7 +13.2 1829 −0.51 +1.18 −1.69 583(73rd)
2017 2-8 1481 30.8 44.3 −13.5 1786 +7.4 +9.6 −2.2 1446 −4.07 +0.13 −4.19 515(50th)
2016 10-4 2117 40.2 26.1 +14.1 1791 +17.9 −9.0 +26.9 2172 +2.48 +3.59 −1.12 676(91st)
2015 8-3 2002 35.1 18.6 +16.5 1641 +10.8 −11.3 +22.1 2053 +1.31 +2.31 −1.00 638(85th)
2014 10-2 2108 33.1 13.2 +19.8 1685 +11.1 −17.7 +28.8 2220 +2.47 +3.22 −0.75 683(92nd)
2013 7-5 1751 34.4 23.8 +10.6 1522 +3.9 −7.8 +11.7 1792 −1.12 +0.97 −2.09 592(76th)
2012 4-7 1478 24.5 27.2 −2.6 1590 −0.3 −0.3 0.0 1501 −3.81 +0.42 −4.23 518(51st)
2011 4-7 1653 24.3 33.1 −8.8 1766 +4.0 +2.2 +1.7 1543 −1.62 +1.13 −2.75 546(61st)
2010 2-8 1259 13.7 29.1 −15.4 1849 −7.5 −4.9 −2.6 1434 −4.55 +0.56 −5.12 505(46th)
2009 4-6 1522 26.0 30.7 −4.7 1660 +2.0 +0.3 +1.7 1542 −2.22 +1.10 −3.32 530(55th)
2008 6-5 1805 25.0 21.5 +3.5 1771 +4.2 −10.0 +14.2 1855 −0.48 +1.77 −2.25 603(78th)
2007 8-5 1993 22.3 17.8 +4.5 1729 +2.4 −12.7 +15.0 1876 −0.14 +2.69 −2.83 634(85th)
2006 9-4 2174 32.2 21.5 +10.7 1688 +11.0 −8.4 +19.4 1984 +0.97 +2.85 −1.88 661(89th)
2005 6-5 1587 22.8 21.2 +1.6 1512 −3.2 −5.8 +2.6 1565 −2.38 +0.81 −3.19 542(59th)
2004 4-6 1230 19.5 23.9 −4.4 1515 −3.8 −0.6 −3.2 1421 −4.12 +0.44 −4.56 493(42nd)
Tradition Never Graduates 2026 | @TexasTNG | texastng.com
Margin — Average scoring margin (PPG minus PAPG).
Elo SOS — Average Elo of opponents faced that season, using each opponent's final season Elo.
AOS — Adjusted Offensive Scoring — scoring output compared to the expected average team's offensive performance, adjusted for opponents' defensive strength.
ADS — Adjusted Defensive Scoring — scoring allowed compared to the expected average defensive team's performance, adjusted for opponents' offensive strength; lower (more negative) is better.
DOM — Dominance — AOS minus ADS, combined scoring-margin efficiency.
Perf — Performance Elo — that season's DOM translated onto the Elo scale, an independent check on Elo itself.
RQ — Resume Quality — net wins above a second-round-quality opponent (WQ + LQ) for the season. Typically runs about −10 to +10: 0 is a break-even resume against that bar, the median qualifying season sits around −1, and +5 or better is an elite, deep-playoff-caliber resume.
WQ — Win Quality — resume credit earned from wins only, weighted by opponent strength. Each win's credit is benchmarked against a hypothetical ~1850 Elo opponent (roughly a second-round-playoff-quality team) — beating a team stronger than that earns close to full credit, beating a much weaker team earns very little.
LQ — Loss Quality — resume cost from losses only, weighted by opponent strength.
All-Time Rating — 0–990 composite score ranked against every qualifying 6A team-season since 2004; parenthetical is the all-time percentile.