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CLASS 6A · District 4-6A

Byron Nelson Bobcats

Enrollment: 3,001 · Dist. Enr. Rk · 2
Rank
#30
was #30
Record
0-0
0-0 district
Elo
2077
#30 of 249
OVR Grade
85.3
#30 of 249 in 6A
OFF Grade
DEF Grade
Perf

Schedule & Results

Wk Opponent (Rec) Elo Proj WP% Result Perf WQ LQ
1
Arlington (0-0) 1475
93% (+24)
2
@#29Lewisville (0-0) 2080
50% (0)
3
@#44Rockwall-Heath (0-0) 1927
65% (+6)
4
Northwest Eaton (0-0) 1456
93% (+25)
5
@Keller Central (0-0) 1456
93% (+25)
7
@Keller (0-0) 1583
89% (+20)
8
Justin Northwest (0-0) 1333
96% (+30)
9
#9Southlake Carroll (0-0) 2444
18% (-15)
10
@Fort Worth Boswell (0-0) 1376
95% (+28)
11 93% (+24)
Tradition Never Graduates 2026 | @TexasTNG | texastng.com

District Standings Projection - District 4-6A

Rk Team (Enroll Rk) OVR/Elo Overall District PPG PAPG ProjRec PO% Bracket
1 9
Dragons
90.9
2444
0-0 0-0 6.7-0.3 > 98% D2
2 30
Bobcats
85.3
2077
0-0 0-0 5.8-1.2 > 98% D1
3 98
Indians
77.9
1583
0-0 0-0 3.5-3.5 66.1% D1
4 123
Falcons
76.3
1477
0-0 0-0 2.8-4.2 39% D2
5 130
Chargers
75.9
1456
0-0 0-0 2.6-4.4 32.7%
6 130
Eagles
75.9
1456
0-0 0-0 2.6-4.4 31.7%
7 150
Pioneers
74.7
1376
0-0 0-0 2.1-4.9 17.9%
8 158
Texans
74.1
1333
0-0 0-0 1.9-5.1 12.8%
Tradition Never Graduates 2026 | @TexasTNG | texastng.com

Since 2004

Historical Performance

Shaded band is the 6A league mean Elo ± 1 standard deviation for that season; the dashed gray line is the league mean. The four colored dashed lines mark the Elo needed that season to rank Top 10 / 25 / 50 / 100 among all qualifying 6A team-seasons (min. 8 games) — a rough gauge of how Byron Nelson’s season stacked up against the state’s best year over year.

Best TNG Rated Seasons

#1 · 2023
13-1
Rating 704 (94th)
#2 · 2022
11-2
Rating 703 (94th)
#3 · 2024
8-3
Rating 662 (89th)
#4 · 2025
10-3
Rating 661 (89th)
#5 · 2021
9-4
Rating 612 (80th)

Team Performance History

Year Record Final
Elo
PPG PAPG Margin Elo
SOS
AOS ADS DOM Perf RQ WQ LQ All-Time
Rating (%ile)
2025 10-3 2134 36.1 20.8 +15.2 1689 +10.3 −12.5 +22.9 2072 +2.49 +2.79 −0.30 661(89th)
2024 8-3 2119 32.8 25.6 +7.2 1850 +9.8 −11.3 +21.1 2026 +2.10 +2.51 −0.40 662(89th)
2023 13-1 2237 46.6 19.9 +26.7 1565 +18.8 −12.4 +31.2 2281 +3.48 +3.60 −0.11 704(94th)
2022 11-2 2196 50.1 19.3 +30.8 1655 +22.2 −13.7 +35.9 2397 +2.87 +2.94 −0.08 703(94th)
2021 9-4 1911 35.6 29.1 +6.5 1647 +9.9 −4.4 +14.3 1858 +0.24 +1.51 −1.26 612(80th)
2020 5-5 1458 23.8 24.9 −1.1 1534 −2.9 −3.0 +0.1 1503 −2.84 +0.62 −3.46 508(48th)
2019 1-9 1435 17.2 32.2 −15.0 1854 −1.7 −1.9 +0.1 1504 −4.40 +0.24 −4.64 525(54th)
2018 3-7 1722 27.0 30.9 −3.9 1778 +5.7 −2.7 +8.4 1710 −2.71 +1.01 −3.72 572(69th)
2017 5-7 1813 20.9 33.8 −12.8 1921 +1.4 −2.4 +3.8 1595 −0.82 +1.48 −2.30 589(75th)
2016 4-7 1798 26.5 36.2 −9.6 1890 +5.6 −1.1 +6.7 1668 −1.22 +2.33 −3.55 584(73rd)
2015 6-5 1889 30.6 26.7 +3.9 1783 +7.0 −8.5 +15.6 1890 −0.14 +1.70 −1.84 611(80th)
2014 3-7 1604 28.0 30.1 −2.1 1711 +2.4 −4.8 +7.3 1682 −3.20 +0.83 −4.03 552(63rd)
2013 1-0 1369 16.0 13.0 +3.0 1220 −20.1 −6.0 −14.1 1148 +0.16 +0.16 0.00
2011 1-0 1278 38.0 6.0 +32.0 1121 −1.2 −18.2 +17.0 1924 +0.06 +0.06 0.00
2010 0-1 1112 14.0 42.0 −28.0 1190 −21.4 +21.6 −43.0 424 −0.96 0.00 −0.96
Tradition Never Graduates 2026 | @TexasTNG | texastng.com
Margin — Average scoring margin (PPG minus PAPG).
Elo SOS — Average Elo of opponents faced that season, using each opponent's final season Elo.
AOS — Adjusted Offensive Scoring — scoring output compared to the expected average team's offensive performance, adjusted for opponents' defensive strength.
ADS — Adjusted Defensive Scoring — scoring allowed compared to the expected average defensive team's performance, adjusted for opponents' offensive strength; lower (more negative) is better.
DOM — Dominance — AOS minus ADS, combined scoring-margin efficiency.
Perf — Performance Elo — that season's DOM translated onto the Elo scale, an independent check on Elo itself.
RQ — Resume Quality — net wins above a second-round-quality opponent (WQ + LQ) for the season. Typically runs about −10 to +10: 0 is a break-even resume against that bar, the median qualifying season sits around −1, and +5 or better is an elite, deep-playoff-caliber resume.
WQ — Win Quality — resume credit earned from wins only, weighted by opponent strength. Each win's credit is benchmarked against a hypothetical ~1850 Elo opponent (roughly a second-round-playoff-quality team) — beating a team stronger than that earns close to full credit, beating a much weaker team earns very little.
LQ — Loss Quality — resume cost from losses only, weighted by opponent strength.
All-Time Rating — 0–990 composite score ranked against every qualifying 6A team-season since 2004; parenthetical is the all-time percentile.