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CLASS 6A · District 3-6A

Aledo Bearcats

Enrollment: 2,404 · Dist. Enr. Rk · 6
Rank
#45
was #50
Record
3-3
2-1 district
Elo
1975
#45 of 249
OVR Grade
83.8
#45 of 249 in 6A
OFF Grade
81.4
#63 of 249 in 6A
DEF Grade
89.9
#19 of 249 in 6A
Perf
2167
#32 of 249 in 6A

Schedule & Results

Wk Opponent (Rec) Elo Proj WP% Result Perf AOS ADS WQ LQ
1
@#1North Crowley (6-0) 2885
14% (-18) L 0-26 2159 −0.9 −27.2 — −0.04
2
#39Waco Midway (6-1) 2038
72% (+9) L 21-28 1865 +5.4 −9.2 — −0.43
3
@Euless Trinity (4-2) 1869
67% (+7) W 31-7 2414 +11.7 −24.8 +0.51 —
4
@Granbury (2-4) 838
> 98% (+50) W 69-0 2577 +22.2 −20.9 +0.02 —
5
#48Arlington Martin (6-0) 1961
78% (+12) L 21-35 1622 −0.6 −5.4 — −0.57
7
Arlington Bowie (3-3) 1586
76% (+11) W 45-7 2367 +16.9 −17.7 +0.29 —
8
@Arlington (4-2) 1558
85% (+17) — — — — — —
9
Weatherford (4-2) 1393
92% (+23) — — — — — —
10 > 98% (+46) — — — — — —
11
Arlington Lamar (3-3) 1461
90% (+21) — — — — — —
Tradition Never Graduates 2026 | @TexasTNG | texastng.com

District Standings Projection - District 3-6A

Rk Team (Enroll Rk) OVR/Elo Overall District PPG PAPG ProjRec PO% Bracket
1 48
Warriors
83.6
1961
6-0 3-0 42.7 20.8 6.6-0.4 > 98% D1
2 45
Bearcats
83.8
1975
3-3 2-1 31.2 17.2 5.7-1.3 > 98% D2
3 101
Volunteers
77.9
1586
3-3 2-1 23.7 28.3 4.3-2.6 87.3% D2
4 108
Colts
77.5
1558
4-2 2-1 37.7 26.3 3.5-3.5 56.6% D1
5 145
Kangaroos
75
1393
4-2 2-1 31.8 26.8 3.6-3.4 48.1% —
6 129
Vikings
76
1461
3-3 1-2 28.3 28.7 3.1-3.9 9.4% —
7 219
Pirates
66.6
838
2-4 0-3 30.2 40.5 0.7-6.3 < 2% —
8 221
Texans
66.2
813
3-3 0-3 25.7 32.2 0.6-6.4 < 2% —
Tradition Never Graduates 2026 | @TexasTNG | texastng.com
ProjRec, PO%, and Bracket represent the result of 10,000 Monte Carlo season simulations from this point forward based on each team's current Elo

Since 2004

Historical Performance

Shaded band is the 6A league mean Elo ± 1 standard deviation for that season; the dashed gray line is the league mean. The four colored dashed lines mark the Elo needed that season to rank Top 10 / 25 / 50 / 100 among all qualifying 6A team-seasons (min. 8 games) — a rough gauge of how Aledo’s season stacked up against the state’s best year over year.

Best TNG Rated Seasons

Team Performance History

Year Record Final
Elo
PPG PAPG Margin Elo
SOS
AOS ADS DOM Perf RQ WQ LQ All-Time
Rating (%ile)
2025 2-0 2218 19.5 7.0 +12.5 2104 +6.3 −32.3 +38.6 2464 +1.34 +1.34 0.00 —
2024 1-1 2009 33.5 31.0 +2.5 2042 +14.6 −11.2 +25.8 2144 +0.16 +0.37 −0.21 —
2023 1-0 1951 48.0 45.0 +3.0 1979 +29.4 +2.8 +26.6 2165 +0.86 +0.86 0.00 —
2022 0-1 1849 14.0 44.0 −30.0 2640 +5.3 −10.5 +15.8 1895 −0.06 0.00 −0.06 —
2021 1-0 1853 47.0 7.0 +40.0 1497 +13.6 −25.5 +39.1 2478 +0.08 +0.08 0.00 —
2020 1-1 1852 43.5 17.0 +26.5 1861 +24.0 −15.9 +39.9 2497 +0.08 +0.27 −0.19 —
2019 0-1 1813 57.0 60.0 −3.0 2489 +44.8 +9.4 +35.4 2385 −0.51 0.00 −0.51 —
2018 1-0 1884 40.0 0.0 +40.0 1862 +17.8 −34.1 +51.9 2797 +0.68 +0.68 0.00 —
2011 1-0 1655 50.0 7.0 +43.0 980 +11.9 −7.4 +19.4 1984 +0.03 +0.03 0.00 —
2010 1-0 1648 48.0 13.0 +35.0 890 +9.7 +0.5 +9.2 1730 +0.04 +0.04 0.00 —
2009 1-1 1636 37.5 19.0 +18.5 1319 +4.2 −6.5 +10.6 1765 −0.94 +0.03 −0.98 —
2008 2-0 1705 37.0 14.0 +23.0 950 −3.5 −0.8 −2.8 1431 +0.30 +0.30 0.00 —
2007 2-0 1577 38.5 7.0 +31.5 1199 +8.2 −9.1 +17.3 1932 +0.10 +0.10 0.00 —
2006 2-0 1506 33.5 15.5 +18.0 1243 +3.6 −6.5 +10.1 1753 +0.42 +0.42 0.00 —
2005 0-1 1205 27.0 37.0 −10.0 1728 +8.8 +7.2 +1.6 1540 −0.80 0.00 −0.80 —
2004 0-1 1227 14.0 21.0 −7.0 1520 −9.5 −7.7 −1.8 1455 −0.91 0.00 −0.91 —
Tradition Never Graduates 2026 | @TexasTNG | texastng.com
Margin — Average scoring margin (PPG minus PAPG).
Elo SOS — Average Elo of opponents faced that season, using each opponent's final season Elo.
AOS — Adjusted Offensive Scoring — scoring output compared to the expected average team's offensive performance, adjusted for opponents' defensive strength.
ADS — Adjusted Defensive Scoring — scoring allowed compared to the expected average defensive team's performance, adjusted for opponents' offensive strength; lower (more negative) is better.
DOM — Dominance — AOS minus ADS, combined scoring-margin efficiency.
Perf — Performance Elo — that season's DOM translated onto the Elo scale, an independent check on Elo itself.
RQ — Resume Quality — net wins above a second-round-quality opponent (WQ + LQ) for the season. Typically runs about −10 to +10: 0 is a break-even resume against that bar, the median qualifying season sits around −1, and +5 or better is an elite, deep-playoff-caliber resume.
WQ — Win Quality — resume credit earned from wins only, weighted by opponent strength. Each win's credit is benchmarked against a hypothetical ~1850 Elo opponent (roughly a second-round-playoff-quality team) — beating a team stronger than that earns close to full credit, beating a much weaker team earns very little.
LQ — Loss Quality — resume cost from losses only, weighted by opponent strength.
All-Time Rating — 0–990 composite score ranked against every qualifying 6A team-season since 2004; parenthetical is the all-time percentile.