| Wk | Opponent (Rec) Elo | Proj WP% | Result | Perf | AOS | ADS | WQ | LQ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | #12Pearland (7-0) 2385 |
8% (-24) | L 3-49 | 1207 | −8.4 | +3.3 | — | −0.14 |
| 2 | @Humble Kingwood (3-4) 1639 |
43% (-3) | L 31-42 | 1336 | +1.1 | +7.6 | — | −0.62 |
| 3 | Fort Bend Elkins (2-5) 1464 |
60% (+4) | W 42-35 | 1609 | +13.9 | +9.5 | +0.19 | — |
| 4 | 22% (-12) | L 17-44 | 1538 | −0.7 | −2.2 | — | −0.39 | |
| 5 | Clear Brook (1-5) 686 |
98% (+37) | W 52-21 | 1454 | +2.2 | +4.0 | +0.01 | — |
| 6 | @Clear Lake (2-4) 1116 |
88% (+19) | W 42-0 | 1948 | −1.4 | −19.4 | +0.05 | — |
| 8 | Clear Springs (2-4) 1518 |
62% (+5) | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 9 | @Clear Creek (1-5) 1150 |
88% (+19) | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 10 | #22Dickinson (3-3) 2210 |
8% (-23) | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 11 | 13% (-18) | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| Tradition Never Graduates 2026 | @TexasTNG | texastng.com | ||||||||
Rank
#96
was #93
Record
3-3
2-1 district
Elo
1637
#96 of 249
OVR Grade
78.7
#96 of 249 in 6A
OFF Grade
75.8
#113 of 249 in 6A
DEF Grade
74.6
#125 of 249 in 6A
Perf
1515
#121 of 249 in 6A
Schedule & Results
District Standings Projection - District 18-6A
| Rk | Team (Enroll Rk) | OVR/ |
Overall | District | PPG | PAPG | ProjRec | PO% | Bracket | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tradition Never Graduates 2026 | @TexasTNG | texastng.com | |||||||||||
| ProjRec, PO%, and Bracket represent the result of 10,000 Monte Carlo season simulations from this point forward based on each team's current Elo | |||||||||||
Since 2004
Historical Performance
Shaded band is the 6A league mean Elo ± 1 standard deviation for that season; the dashed gray line is the league mean. The four colored dashed lines mark the Elo needed that season to rank Top 10 / 25 / 50 / 100 among all qualifying 6A team-seasons (min. 8 games) — a rough gauge of how Clear Falls’s season stacked up against the state’s best year over year.
Best TNG Rated Seasons
#1 · 2021
9-2
Rating 641 (86th)
#2 · 2022
9-3
Rating 638 (86th)
#3 · 2020
7-4
Rating 616 (81st)
#4 · 2023
7-5
Rating 615 (81st)
#5 · 2024
6-5
Rating 588 (74th)
Team Performance History
| Year | Record | Final Elo |
PPG | PAPG | Margin | Elo SOS |
AOS | ADS | DOM | Perf | RQ | WQ | LQ | All-Time Rating (%ile) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tradition Never Graduates 2026 | @TexasTNG | texastng.com | ||||||||||||||
Margin — Average scoring margin (PPG minus PAPG).
Elo SOS — Average Elo of opponents faced that season, using each opponent's final season Elo.
AOS — Adjusted Offensive Scoring — scoring output compared to the expected average team's offensive performance, adjusted for opponents' defensive strength.
ADS — Adjusted Defensive Scoring — scoring allowed compared to the expected average defensive team's performance, adjusted for opponents' offensive strength; lower (more negative) is better.
DOM — Dominance — AOS minus ADS, combined scoring-margin efficiency.
Perf — Performance Elo — that season's DOM translated onto the Elo scale, an independent check on Elo itself.
RQ — Resume Quality — net wins above a second-round-quality opponent (WQ + LQ) for the season. Typically runs about −10 to +10: 0 is a break-even resume against that bar, the median qualifying season sits around −1, and +5 or better is an elite, deep-playoff-caliber resume.
WQ — Win Quality — resume credit earned from wins only, weighted by opponent strength. Each win's credit is benchmarked against a hypothetical ~1850 Elo opponent (roughly a second-round-playoff-quality team) — beating a team stronger than that earns close to full credit, beating a much weaker team earns very little.
LQ — Loss Quality — resume cost from losses only, weighted by opponent strength.
All-Time Rating — 0–990 composite score ranked against every qualifying 6A team-season since 2004; parenthetical is the all-time percentile.