| Wk | Opponent (Rec) Elo | Proj WP% | Result | Perf | AOS | ADS | WQ | LQ |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Langham Creek (5-1) 1754 |
49% (-1) | L 21-40 | 1316 | +3.1 | +10.5 | — | −0.73 |
| 2 | 3% (-32) | L 14-38 | 1757 | +2.6 | −7.7 | — | −0.13 | |
| 3 | @Katy Jordan (4-2) 1745 |
16% (-16) | L 7-34 | 1208 | −14.8 | −3.1 | — | −0.45 |
| 4 | Katy Cinco Ranch (3-3) 1510 |
27% (-9) | L 20-28 | 1368 | −4.4 | +0.8 | — | −0.66 |
| 5 | @Katy Seven Lakes (0-6) 1008 |
82% (+14) | W 41-10 | 1764 | +2.2 | −8.4 | +0.04 | — |
| 6 | Katy Morton Ranch (2-4) 1216 |
69% (+8) | W 28-16 | 1371 | −8.6 | −3.5 | +0.08 | — |
| 8 | < 2% (-43) | — | — | — | — | — | — | |
| 9 | Katy Taylor (5-2) 1540 |
47% (-1) | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 10 | @Katy Mayde Creek (1-5) 1114 |
84% (+16) | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| 11 | Katy Tompkins (3-3) 1870 |
18% (-14) | — | — | — | — | — | — |
| Tradition Never Graduates 2026 | @TexasTNG | texastng.com | ||||||||
Rank
#121
was #119
Record
2-4
2-2 district
Elo
1511
#121 of 249
OVR Grade
76.8
#121 of 249 in 6A
OFF Grade
72.6
#149 of 249 in 6A
DEF Grade
76.6
#105 of 249 in 6A
Perf
1464
#133 of 249 in 6A
Schedule & Results
District Standings Projection - District 22-6A
| Rk | Team (Enroll Rk) | OVR/ |
Overall | District | PPG | PAPG | ProjRec | PO% | Bracket | ||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tradition Never Graduates 2026 | @TexasTNG | texastng.com | |||||||||||
| ProjRec, PO%, and Bracket represent the result of 10,000 Monte Carlo season simulations from this point forward based on each team's current Elo | |||||||||||
Since 2004
Historical Performance
Shaded band is the 6A league mean Elo ± 1 standard deviation for that season; the dashed gray line is the league mean. The four colored dashed lines mark the Elo needed that season to rank Top 10 / 25 / 50 / 100 among all qualifying 6A team-seasons (min. 8 games) — a rough gauge of how Katy Paetow’s season stacked up against the state’s best year over year.
Best TNG Rated Seasons
#1 · 2024
7-4
Rating 566 (67th)
#2 · 2022
5-5
Rating 542 (59th)
#3 · 2025
5-6
Rating 526 (54th)
#4 · 2023
2-8
Rating 468 (32nd)
Team Performance History
| Year | Record | Final Elo |
PPG | PAPG | Margin | Elo SOS |
AOS | ADS | DOM | Perf | RQ | WQ | LQ | All-Time Rating (%ile) |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tradition Never Graduates 2026 | @TexasTNG | texastng.com | ||||||||||||||
Margin — Average scoring margin (PPG minus PAPG).
Elo SOS — Average Elo of opponents faced that season, using each opponent's final season Elo.
AOS — Adjusted Offensive Scoring — scoring output compared to the expected average team's offensive performance, adjusted for opponents' defensive strength.
ADS — Adjusted Defensive Scoring — scoring allowed compared to the expected average defensive team's performance, adjusted for opponents' offensive strength; lower (more negative) is better.
DOM — Dominance — AOS minus ADS, combined scoring-margin efficiency.
Perf — Performance Elo — that season's DOM translated onto the Elo scale, an independent check on Elo itself.
RQ — Resume Quality — net wins above a second-round-quality opponent (WQ + LQ) for the season. Typically runs about −10 to +10: 0 is a break-even resume against that bar, the median qualifying season sits around −1, and +5 or better is an elite, deep-playoff-caliber resume.
WQ — Win Quality — resume credit earned from wins only, weighted by opponent strength. Each win's credit is benchmarked against a hypothetical ~1850 Elo opponent (roughly a second-round-playoff-quality team) — beating a team stronger than that earns close to full credit, beating a much weaker team earns very little.
LQ — Loss Quality — resume cost from losses only, weighted by opponent strength.
All-Time Rating — 0–990 composite score ranked against every qualifying 6A team-season since 2004; parenthetical is the all-time percentile.