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CLASS 6A · District 22-6A

Katy Seven Lakes Spartans

Enrollment: 3,719 · Dist. Enr. Rk · 1

Rank

#205

was #202

Record

0-6

0-4 district

Elo

1008

#205 of 249

OVR Grade

69.2

#205 of 249 in 6A

OFF Grade

68.3

#190 of 249 in 6A

DEF Grade

62.7

#217 of 249 in 6A

Perf

903

#210 of 249 in 6A

Schedule & Results

Wk	Opponent (Rec) Elo	Proj WP%	Result	Perf	AOS	ADS	WQ	LQ
1	@Houston Memorial (6-0) 1946	7% (-25)	L 21-50	1133	+0.9	+15.6	—	−0.44
2	Richmond Foster (2-4) 1233	50% (0)	L 14-35	606	−17.0	+18.7	—	−0.92
4	@Katy Morton Ranch (2-4) 1216	48% (-1)	L 28-43	696	−8.6	+23.5	—	−0.94
5	Katy Paetow (2-4) 1511	18% (-14)	L 10-41	693	−16.0	+16.2	—	−0.86
6	@#5Katy (7-0) 2587	< 2% (-62)	L 0-55	1197	−7.4	+4.8	—	−0.04
7	Katy Taylor (5-2) 1540	11% (-20)	L 17-31	1091	−8.6	+7.8	—	−0.80
8	@Katy Mayde Creek (1-5) 1114	39% (-4)	—	—	—	—	—	—
9	Katy Tompkins (3-3) 1870	3% (-35)	—	—	—	—	—	—
10	@Katy Jordan (4-2) 1745	4% (-29)	—	—	—	—	—	—
11	Katy Cinco Ranch (3-3) 1510	11% (-20)	—	—	—	—	—	—
Tradition Never Graduates 2026 | @TexasTNG | texastng.com

District Standings Projection - District 22-6A

Rk			Team (Enroll Rk)	OVR/Elo	Overall	District	PPG	PAPG	ProjRec	PO%	Bracket
1		5	Katy (4) Tigers	93 2587	7-0	5-0	46.4	11.6	8-0	> 98%	D1
2		57	Katy Tompkins (6) Falcons	82.2 1870	3-3	3-1	29.0	30.3	6.6-1.4	> 98%	D2
3		73	Katy Jordan (3) Warriors	80.3 1745	4-2	3-2	33.7	26.0	5.6-2.4	97.7%	D1
4		112	Katy Taylor (5) Mustangs	77.2 1540	5-2	3-2	25.6	21.4	4.3-3.7	66.1%	D2
5		123	Katy Cinco Ranch (2) Cougars	76.8 1510	3-3	3-2	23.5	27.0	4.3-3.7	28.8%	—
6		121	Katy Paetow (7) Panthers	76.8 1511	2-4	2-2	21.8	27.7	3.5-4.5	8%	—
7		173	Katy Morton Ranch (8) Mavericks	72.3 1216	2-4	1-3	19.0	37.2	2-6	< 2%	—
8		190	Katy Mayde Creek (9) Rams	70.8 1114	1-5	0-4	21.8	40.0	1.2-6.8	< 2%	—
9		205	Katy Seven Lakes (1) Spartans	69.2 1008	0-6	0-4	15.0	42.5	0.6-7.4	< 2%	—
Tradition Never Graduates 2026 | @TexasTNG | texastng.com
ProjRec, PO%, and Bracket represent the result of 10,000 Monte Carlo season simulations from this point forward based on each team's current Elo

Since 2004

Historical Performance

Shaded band is the 6A league mean Elo ± 1 standard deviation for that season; the dashed gray line is the league mean. The four colored dashed lines mark the Elo needed that season to rank Top 10 / 25 / 50 / 100 among all qualifying 6A team-seasons (min. 8 games) — a rough gauge of how Katy Seven Lakes’s season stacked up against the state’s best year over year.

Best TNG Rated Seasons

#1 · 2014

8-3

Rating 634 (85th)

#2 · 2013

6-4

Rating 574 (70th)

#3 · 2021

7-4

Rating 556 (64th)

#4 · 2018

6-5

Rating 546 (61st)

#5 · 2011

6-4

Rating 544 (60th)

Team Performance History

Year	Record	Final Elo	PPG	PAPG	Margin	Elo SOS	AOS	ADS	DOM	Perf	RQ	WQ	LQ	All-Time Rating (%ile)
2025	3-7	1288	12.3	28.2	−15.9	1554	−15.6	−2.5	−13.1	1172	−4.60	+0.27	−4.88	460(31st)
2024	4-6	1174	13.4	27.3	−13.9	1526	−12.0	+0.8	−12.8	1180	−3.20	+0.36	−3.56	451(28th)
2023	2-8	936	16.8	37.7	−20.9	1446	−10.5	+11.7	−22.2	945	−5.59	+0.32	−5.91	403(15th)
2022	1-9	1195	20.0	38.7	−18.7	1714	−5.2	+4.3	−9.6	1261	−5.63	+0.03	−5.67	460(30th)
2021	7-4	1743	21.5	24.5	−3.0	1690	−2.2	−7.8	+5.7	1641	+0.34	+1.34	−1.01	556(64th)
2020	3-6	1536	19.9	37.7	−17.8	1852	+0.2	+3.6	−3.4	1416	−1.56	+0.53	−2.10	516(51st)
2019	4-6	1441	23.5	30.0	−6.5	1638	−0.9	+0.2	−1.2	1471	−3.41	+0.23	−3.65	508(47th)
2018	6-5	1612	24.8	22.6	+2.2	1527	−1.1	−6.5	+5.4	1634	−1.87	+1.03	−2.90	546(61st)
2017	3-6	1351	20.1	28.9	−8.8	1611	−3.8	−0.1	−3.7	1407	−2.71	+0.14	−2.86	492(41st)
2016	3-7	1277	16.7	33.9	−17.2	1597	−7.8	+4.9	−12.7	1183	−3.85	+0.23	−4.09	455(29th)
2015	4-6	1553	28.8	27.7	+1.1	1438	+1.1	+2.7	−1.7	1458	−3.42	+0.33	−3.75	517(51st)
2014	8-3	1842	40.2	16.3	+23.9	1510	+13.4	−10.0	+23.4	2084	+0.40	+0.98	−0.58	634(85th)
2013	6-4	1584	24.8	14.6	+10.2	1492	−1.3	−12.2	+10.9	1772	−0.83	+0.81	−1.64	574(70th)
2012	5-6	1542	30.1	31.8	−1.7	1673	+4.4	−0.2	+4.6	1615	−2.22	+0.69	−2.91	539(59th)
2011	6-4	1542	25.1	19.3	+5.8	1499	0.0	−5.5	+5.5	1638	−1.34	+0.60	−1.94	544(60th)
2010	4-6	1311	30.6	33.9	−3.3	1534	+2.7	+4.6	−1.8	1454	−3.15	+0.42	−3.57	500(44th)
2009	4-7	1216	23.9	28.9	−5.0	1422	−3.3	+5.3	−8.6	1285	−4.11	+0.23	−4.34	468(32nd)
2008	3-6	1312	26.7	29.8	−3.1	1611	+4.3	+2.3	+2.0	1551	−3.60	+0.31	−3.92	512(49th)
2007	0-3	1102	16.0	21.7	−5.7	1376	−12.4	−1.5	−10.9	1227	−2.36	0.00	−2.36	—
2006	0-3	1131	4.3	51.0	−46.7	1558	−18.9	+24.4	−43.3	417	−2.59	0.00	−2.59	—
Tradition Never Graduates 2026 | @TexasTNG | texastng.com

Margin — Average scoring margin (PPG minus PAPG).

Elo SOS — Average Elo of opponents faced that season, using each opponent's final season Elo.

AOS — Adjusted Offensive Scoring — scoring output compared to the expected average team's offensive performance, adjusted for opponents' defensive strength.

ADS — Adjusted Defensive Scoring — scoring allowed compared to the expected average defensive team's performance, adjusted for opponents' offensive strength; lower (more negative) is better.

DOM — Dominance — AOS minus ADS, combined scoring-margin efficiency.

Perf — Performance Elo — that season's DOM translated onto the Elo scale, an independent check on Elo itself.

RQ — Resume Quality — net wins above a second-round-quality opponent (WQ + LQ) for the season. Typically runs about −10 to +10: 0 is a break-even resume against that bar, the median qualifying season sits around −1, and +5 or better is an elite, deep-playoff-caliber resume.

WQ — Win Quality — resume credit earned from wins only, weighted by opponent strength. Each win's credit is benchmarked against a hypothetical ~1850 Elo opponent (roughly a second-round-playoff-quality team) — beating a team stronger than that earns close to full credit, beating a much weaker team earns very little.

LQ — Loss Quality — resume cost from losses only, weighted by opponent strength.

All-Time Rating — 0–990 composite score ranked against every qualifying 6A team-season since 2004; parenthetical is the all-time percentile.